Matchday 5 of the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between Liverpool (England) and Real Madrid (Spain) will take place on November 27 at Anfield. Liverpool vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Francois Letexier (France)
Matches – 15 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 60;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 27%.
Predicted lineups for Liverpool vs. Real Madrid
Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Caoimhin Kelleher – Andrew Robertson, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk – Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister – Dominik Szoboszlai, Cody Gakpo, Mohamed Salah – Darwin Nunez.
Real Madrid (4-4-2): Andriy Lunin – Ferland Mendy, Jesus Vallejo, Fran Garcia, Antonio Rudiger – Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, Luka Modric – Kylian Mbappe, Endrick Felipe.
Liverpool
Arne Slot's side confidently leads the Champions League group stage table. Liverpool is the only team yet to drop points. They have conceded just one goal, which came against AC Milan in the first round (3-1). Subsequently, the English side secured clean-sheet victories over Bologna (2-0), Leipzig (1-0), and Bayer Leverkusen (4-0). Notably, Luis Diaz scored a hat-trick in the last match against Leverkusen.
Forwards Federico Chiesa and Diogo Jota, as well as goalkeeper Alisson Becker and defender Kostas Tsimikas, will miss the match due to injuries.
- Liverpool has won 9 of their last 11 Champions League matches (with two losses to Real Madrid).
- At least one team failed to score in 6 of Liverpool's last 8 games in this tournament.
- In 8 of their last 11 home Champions League matches, the first half ended in a draw.
Real Madrid
The Spaniards unexpectedly lost 1-3 at home to AC Milan in the previous round. This was the team's second defeat in the group stage, having previously lost away to Lille (0-1). Real Madrid has only two victories, both at the Santiago Bernabeu, against Stuttgart (3-1) and Borussia Dortmund (5-2). Real Madrid is in 18th position, three points behind the top eight.
Defenders David Alaba, Dani Carvajal, and Eder Militao, as well as forwards Rodrygo Goes and Vinicius Junior, will not play in this match due to injuries.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Real Madrid's last 10 Champions League matches.
- Real has not won the first half in their last six matches in this tournament (3 draws and 3 losses).
- The Spaniards have not lost in 6 of their last 7 away Champions League matches (4 wins and 2 draws).
Liverpool vs. Real Madrid: Match Prediction
Liverpool is in excellent form, leading not only in the Champions League but also in the Premier League. However, despite Liverpool's strong performance this season, the club has struggled against Real Madrid. In their last eight encounters in this European competition, Real Madrid has won seven times with one draw. The goal difference in these meetings is 17-4 in favor of the Spaniards. Additionally, Liverpool has never scored more than one goal per game in these matches.
I believe the bookmakers were quick to favor the hosts in this game. I suggest that the visitors can avoid defeat in England. Real Madrid has much more at stake, as the team risks missing out on a direct spot in the Round of 16, while a draw would suffice for Liverpool to remain at the top of the table.
My prediction: Real Madrid win or draw
