Matchday 5 of the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between Liverpool (England) and Real Madrid (Spain) will take place on November 27 at Anfield. Liverpool vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: François Letexier (France)
Matches – 15 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 60;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 27%.
Predicted lineups for Liverpool vs. Real Madrid
Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Caoimhin Kelleher – Kostas Tsimikas, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk – Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister – Dominik Szoboszlai, Cody Gakpo, Mohamed Salah – Darwin Nunez.
Real Madrid (4-4-2): Andriy Lunin – Ferland Mendy, Jesús Vallejo, Fran García, Antonio Rüdiger – Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, Luka Modric – Kylian Mbappe, Endrick Felipe.
Liverpool
Arne Slot's team confidently leads the group stage of the Champions League. Liverpool is the only team yet to drop points. The team has conceded just one goal, which came in the first round against AC Milan (3-1) away. Since then, the English side has secured clean sheets against Bologna (2-0), Leipzig (1-0), and Bayer (4-0). Notably, Luis Diaz scored a hat-trick in the last match against Bayer Leverkusen.
Forwards Federico Chiesa and Diogo Jota, as well as goalkeeper Alisson Becker, will miss the match due to injuries.
- Liverpool has won 9 of their last 11 Champions League matches (with two defeats against Real Madrid).
- At least one team failed to score in 6 of Liverpool's last 8 games in this tournament.
- In 8 of Liverpool's last 11 home Champions League matches, the first half ended in a draw.
Real Madrid
The Spaniards unexpectedly lost their last home game to AC Milan with a 1-3 scoreline. This was their second defeat in the group stage, having previously lost away to Lille (0-1). Real Madrid has only two victories, both at the Santiago Bernabéu, against Stuttgart (3-1) and Borussia (5-2). Real is currently in 18th place, three points behind the top eight.
Defenders David Alaba, Dani Carvajal, Lucas Vazquez, and Éder Militão, as well as midfielder Aurélien Tchouaméni, and forwards Rodrygo Goes and Vinicius Junior will not play due to injuries.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Real Madrid's last 10 Champions League games.
- Real Madrid has not won the first half in their last six matches in this tournament (3 draws and 3 losses).
- The Spaniards have not lost in regular time in 6 of their last 7 away Champions League matches (4 wins and 2 draws).
Liverpool vs. Real Madrid: Match Prediction
Liverpool is in excellent form. The team leads not only in the Champions League but also in the Premier League. However, no matter how strong Liverpool appears this season, they struggle against Real Madrid. In the last eight encounters in this European competition, Real Madrid has won seven times, with one draw. The goal difference in these matches is 17-4 in favor of the Spaniards. Additionally, Liverpool has never scored more than one goal in these games.
I believe the bookmakers were too quick to favor the home side in this match. I suggest that the visitors can at least avoid defeat in England. Real Madrid has more tournament motivation, as the team risks missing a direct spot in the Round of 16, while a draw would suffice for Liverpool to stay at the top of the table. Liverpool's upcoming schedule is relatively easy, with no matches against top opponents.
My prediction – Real Madrid to win or draw