The Matchday 15 clash in the Russian Premier League between Lokomotiv and Orenburg will take place on November 9 at the RZD Arena in Moscow. Lokomotiv vs. Orenburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lokomotiv
The trip to Saint Petersburg resulted in the first defeat for the "Railwaymen" this season (0-2). Additionally, their 19-match unbeaten streak in the RPL (10 wins, 9 draws) came to an end. Moreover, the Moscow club had scored in every match during this stretch. However, they barely threatened Zenit's goal, with only two shots on target, marking their worst performance in the RPL 2025/26 season (average 5.9). The loss dropped the team to fifth place in the standings, with a five-point gap to leaders Krasnodar.
- The "Railwaymen" have conceded in 11 of their last 13 Premier League matches.
- Lokomotiv is unbeaten in 12 home games in the championship (6 wins, 6 draws).
- In 6 of their last 7 home matches in this tournament, the Moscow side has scored at least two goals.
Predicted lineup for Lokomotiv (4-4-2)
Anton Mitryushkin – Alexander Silyanov, Lucas Fasson, Cesar Montes, Gerzino Nyamsi – Dmitry Barinov, Zelimkhan Bakaev, Artem Karpukas, Danil Prutsev – Nikolay Komlichenko, Alexander Rudenko.
Midfielder Alexey Batrakov is suspended. Forwards Sergey Pinyaev and Dmitry Vorobyev, as well as defender Evgeny Morozov, are injured.
Orenburg
The victory in the last round against Sochi (3-1) ended Orenburg's eight-match winless streak in the Premier League (3 draws, 5 losses). Notably, the team scored more than two goals for the first time in the RPL 2025/26. Furthermore, such scoring prowess in the Premier League had not been seen since May 2024. However, Orenburg has conceded in 13 consecutive matches in this tournament. Thanks to the three points gained, Ildar Akhmetzyanov's side moved out of the relegation zone.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Orenburg's last 10 championship matches.
- The team lost 5 of their last 7 away matches in the RPL (1 win, 1 draw).
- In 7 of their last 8 away games in this tournament, the club scored exactly 1 or 2 goals.
Predicted lineup for Orenburg (4-5-1)
Bogdan Ovsyannikov – Danila Khotulev, Artem Kasimov, Henri Chichinadze, Danila Vedernikov – Dmitry Rybchinsky, Du Queiroz, Irakli Kvekveskiri, Jordi Thompson, Gedeon Guzina – Emirjan Gyurlyuk.
Defenders Fahd Moufi, Emil Tsenov, and Georgy Zotov are injured.
Referee
Sergey Tsyganok (Russia)
Matches – 8 (RPL, 2024/25 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 75%.
Lokomotiv vs. Orenburg: Match Prediction
The "Railwaymen" were the last team to remain unbeaten in the championship. However, they looked weak against an in-form Zenit and deservedly lost. Nonetheless, at home in the RPL, Lokomotiv remains unbeaten since December 2024. Mikhail Galaktionov's side should continue this streak against Orenburg, who, despite achieving a local success, are yet to show stability in their game under Ildar Akhmetzyanov. Moreover, Orenburg has not won in 8 of their last 9 away Premier League matches (2 draws, 6 losses).
However, Orenburg can pose problems for the hosts. The team has scored in 8 of their last 10 championship matches, which, given Lokomotiv's weak defense, allows the visitors to hope for at least one successful strike. Lokomotiv has only three clean sheets in the RPL 2025/26, with only five teams having a worse record, one of which is Orenburg. Moreover, Orenburg has conceded in 17 consecutive away games in this tournament.
I expect a high-scoring match, with the hosts likely to earn points. My prediction: Lokomotiv will not lose and Total over 2.5 goals
