Luxembourg vs Bulgaria: betting odds November 15, 2024

The Matchday 5 clash in the Nations League between Luxembourg and Bulgaria in Group 3 of League C will take place on November 15 at Stade de Luxembourg. Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Referee: Yuri Frischer (Estonia)

Matches – 5 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 13;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.6;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 16;

Penalties – 40%.

Predicted lineups for Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria

Luxembourg (4-3-3): Ralph Schon – Laurent Jans, Michael Pinto, Lars Gerson, Dirk Carlson – Eldin Dzogovic, Mathias Olesen, Sebastien Thill – Christopher Martins, Danel Sinani, Gerson Rodrigues.

Bulgaria (4-5-1): Dimitar Mitov – Valentin Antov, Zhivko Atanasov, Petko Hristov, Viktor Popov – Simeon Petrov, Filip Krastev, Iliyan Iliev, Georgi Milanov, Martin Minchev – Kiril Despodov.

Luxembourg

After two defeats at the start of the Nations League, Luxembourg managed to draw their next two matches, sharing points with Bulgaria (0-0) and Belarus (1-1). With two points, the team is at the bottom of Group 3 in League C. A loss in this match would guarantee them a fourth-place finish. Notably, Luxembourg is one of four teams in League C that have not won a match yet. They have scored just one goal, which is the worst record in the league alongside Cyprus and Bulgaria.

• No more than two goals have been scored in Luxembourg's last five Nations League matches.
• The team has not won in 7 of their last 8 Nations League matches (4 draws, 3 losses).
• At least one opponent failed to score in 9 of Luxembourg's last 10 home matches in this tournament.

Bulgaria

Bulgaria suffered their heaviest defeat in the Nations League, losing 0-5 to Northern Ireland in the last round, marking the second time in the tournament's history they have conceded five goals. This defeat ended their seven-match unbeaten run in the Nations League (3 wins, 4 draws). Additionally, it broke a streak of four matches without conceding a goal. As a result of the loss, Bulgaria dropped one position in the Group 3 standings, falling to third place. However, by earning points in the upcoming match, the team can ensure they do not drop lower and maintain their place in League C. Bulgaria still has a chance to win the group.

• At least one team did not score in Bulgaria's last five Nations League matches.
• The team has not scored more than once in 10 of their last 11 away matches in this tournament.
• Bulgaria has failed to win 9 of their last 10 away matches in the Nations League (5 draws, 4 losses).

Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria: Match Prediction

After two goalless defeats at the start of the tournament, Luxembourg managed to regroup and played evenly against Bulgaria and Belarus. In the match against Bulgaria, they even had more opportunities to score. In the last round, the team managed to open their scoring account in the current Nations League campaign. The hosts have no room for error, and a win in the upcoming match would allow them to move off the bottom of the group, overtaking Bulgaria.

Considering Luxembourg's improvement and their ability to match Bulgaria away, I believe the hosts have every chance to at least earn points in the upcoming match. At home, the team has not lost in 4 of their last 6 Nations League matches (2 wins, 2 draws). Bulgaria, on the other hand, has failed to win 9 of their last 10 away matches in this tournament. After the fiasco in the last round, it will be difficult for them to recover.

I expect the hosts not to lose this match, and I do not anticipate many goals. No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of Luxembourg's last 8 home Nations League matches and in 9 of Bulgaria's last 10 away matches in the tournament. Therefore, my prediction is: 1X + Total under 2.5 goals