Matchday 6 of the Nations League between Luxembourg and Northern Ireland in Group 3 of League C will take place on November 17 at the Stade de Luxembourg. Luxembourg vs. Northern Ireland: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Elchin Masiyev (Azerbaijan)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 42;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 22%.
Predicted lineups for Luxembourg vs. Northern Ireland
Luxembourg (5-3-2): Tiago Pereira – Michael Pinto, Dirk Carlson, Seid Korac, Laurent Jans, Florian Bonert – Danel Sinani, Christopher Martins, Mathias Olesen – Gerson Rodrigues, Thomas Morreira.
Northern Ireland (3-4-3): Pierce Charles – Ciaron Brown, Daniel Ballard, Trai Hume – Brodie Spencer, Shea Charles, Alistair McCann, Conor Bradley – Isaac Price, Paul Smyth, Dion Charles.
Each team's starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
Luxembourg
After two consecutive draws in the Nations League, Luxembourg suffered another defeat, losing 0-1 to Bulgaria in the last round. This setback has eliminated their chances of moving off the bottom of the group. They will finish fourth regardless of the outcome of the upcoming match. Notably, Luxembourg is the lowest-scoring team in League C, having scored just once in five matches. Furthermore, they have conceded the most goals in the group, alongside Bulgaria, with five goals against.
- No more than 2 goals have been scored in Luxembourg's last 6 Nations League matches.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of Luxembourg's last 6 Nations League encounters.
- Luxembourg has not won in 7 of their last 9 home games in this tournament (2 draws, 5 losses).
Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland secured their second consecutive clean sheet victory in the current tournament, defeating Belarus 2-0 in the previous match. The team has not conceded in three Nations League matches and is the best defensive side in Division C, alongside North Macedonia, with just one goal conceded. Thanks to their win in the last round, Northern Ireland retained the top spot in the group and will finish first at the end of the group stage if they avoid defeat in the upcoming match.
Defender Ciaron Brown will miss the game due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
- At least one team has failed to score in Northern Ireland's last 5 Nations League matches.
- Notably, the team has never won away in the Nations League (3 draws, 7 losses).
- Northern Ireland has not scored more than 1 goal in 9 of their last 10 away matches in this tournament.
Luxembourg vs. Northern Ireland: Match Prediction
After a home defeat to Bulgaria in the last round, Luxembourg has lost all hope of moving off the bottom of the group and risks relegation to League D. However, the scoreline against Bulgaria does not reflect the nature of the game. Luxembourg dominated possession and made nearly three times as many shots on goal as the visitors, but their finishing let them down. I don't think they will be unlucky for the second consecutive game.
Moreover, Northern Ireland, considered the clear favorite for the upcoming match, has performed poorly away in the Nations League, never winning in the tournament's history over ten matches. Additionally, Northern Ireland's attack has been modest in away Nations League games, scoring more than once in just 1 of their last 10 away matches. I believe this match will be no exception. Although Luxembourg has lost motivation, they will want to end on a high note and delight the home crowd with a positive result, so they will be well-prepared for this game.
Furthermore, Luxembourg's home defense does not allow opponents much freedom, conceding more than one goal in just 2 of their last 8 Nations League matches. Therefore, my prediction is Northern Ireland Individual Total Under 1.5