The matchday 25 Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Paris will take place on 8 March at the Parc Olympique Lyonnais. Lyon vs Paris: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Lyon
Lyon have spent the last two matchdays on the road against strong opponents and suffered defeats. First, they lost to Strasbourg (1:3), before falling to Marseille (2:3). In those two consecutive league fixtures, the club have now lost for only the second time in the current season. Incidentally, prior to that, Lyon had put together a seven-match winning run in Ligue 1. The club are still holding on to third place in the standings, but Marseille are just three points behind, while Lille and Rennes are five points back.
- The team opened the scoring in eight of their previous nine Ligue 1 matches.
- At home, Lille have won five straight league games.
- The club scored at least two goals in five of their last seven home Ligue 1 fixtures.
Potential Olympique Lyonnais Lineup (4-3-1-2)*
Dominik Greif – Clinton Mata, Moussa Niakate, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Nicolas Tagliafico – Tanner Tessmann, Tyler Morton, Corentin Tolisso – Noa Narti – Endrick, Roman Yaremchuk.
Paris
Paris welcomed Nice to their home ground last time out and beat them 1:0. That result ended a five-match winless run in the league, during which they lost to Lens and drew four times. Defeat to the side currently second in the table remains Paris' only loss in their last six Ligue 1 matches. The Parisians sit 14th, but they have a comfortable eight-point cushion over the bottom three. There are issues at the back: the defence have conceded 40 goals, and only three teams have a worse record in the league.
- The club did not score more than one goal in each of their previous four Ligue 1 games.
- Away from home, Paris failed to win five of their last six league matches (three draws and two defeats).
- In the team's previous five away Ligue 1 fixtures, they conceded just one first-half goal.
Potential Paris Football Club Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Kevin Trapp – Adama Camara, Diego Coppola, Mamadou Mbou, Thibault De Smet – Pierre Lees-Melou, Marshall Munetsi – Jonathan Ikone, Ilan Kebbal, Moises Simon – Ciro Immobile.
Defenders Thibault De Smet and Otavio, as well as midfielder Ilan Kebbal, are unavailable due to suspensions.
Referee
Eric Wattellier (France)
Matches – 12 (Ligue 1, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 36;
Average yellow cards per match – 3;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 42%.
Lyon vs Paris: Match Prediction
As Lyon's recent league matches have shown, they have clear problems when facing teams from the top half of the standings. The team, in effect, look ready to beat only opponents who are in the lower half of the table. At the same time, even against relegation candidates, the club are often content with narrow wins. We suggest that, in this fixture, even if the hosts do win, it will likely be by a one-goal margin.
Even at home, Lyon have failed to win by a convincing scoreline in eight of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches. Meanwhile, in their last 10 away league games, Paris have lost by two or more goals only once (against Lille). Therefore, despite the Parisians' low position in the standings, the capital club have a chance of getting an acceptable result. It is also worth noting that the reverse fixture in the first half of the season ended in a 3:3 draw at Paris' ground.
Prediction: Paris Football Club (+1)
* For each team, the starting XI listed is from their most recent match in this competition.
