Matchday 5 of the Nations League between North Macedonia and Latvia in Group 4 of League C will take place on November 14 at the Toshe Proeski Stadium in Skopje. North Macedonia vs. Latvia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Giorgi Kikacheishvili (Georgia)
Matches – 12 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 59;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.9;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 50%.
Predicted lineups for North Macedonia vs. Latvia
North Macedonia (4-3-3): Stole Dimitrievski – Ezgjan Alioski, Nikola Serafimov, Gjoko Zajkov, Jovan Manev – Enis Bardhi, Isnik Alimi, Darko Churlinov – Bojan Dimoski, Aleksandar Trajkovski, Elif Elmas.
Latvia (4-4-2): Rihards Matrevics – Roberts Savalnieks, Kristers Tobers, Daniels Balodis, Raivis Jurkovskis – Dmitrijs Zelenkovs, Eduards Daskevics, Aleksejs Saveljevs, Renars Varslavans – Roberts Uldrikis, Vladislavs Gutkovskis.
North Macedonia
The Macedonians secured their third consecutive clean sheet victory in the Nations League, defeating Armenia 2-0 in the last round. Notably, the team achieved three consecutive wins without conceding for the first time in this tournament. The victory over Armenia virtually guaranteed Blagoja Milevski's side the top spot in the group, with only a highly unlikely scenario allowing Latvia to overtake them. North Macedonia is tied for fourth place among the highest-scoring teams in League C, with eight goals, and shares the lead with Northern Ireland and Belarus for the best defense, conceding just one goal.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 8 of North Macedonia's last 9 Nations League matches.
- No more than 2 goals were scored in 5 of North Macedonia's last 6 Nations League games.
- At home, the team has won 7 of 10 matches in this tournament (1 draw, 2 losses).
Latvia
Latvia recorded their first draw in the current Nations League campaign, finishing 1-1 against the Faroe Islands in the previous match. This result ended their three-match uncompromising streak in the tournament (1 win, 2 losses). The team remains third in the group standings, trailing their upcoming opponent by six points. Notably, Latvia is the group's weakest team in terms of goals scored and conceded, having scored just three times and conceded eight goals.
Forward Janis Ikaunieks will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
- Latvia has scored in 11 of their last 12 Nations League matches.
- The team has won with a handicap (+1.5) in 16 of their last 18 matches in this tournament.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Latvia's last 8 away Nations League matches.
North Macedonia vs. Latvia: Match Prediction
Blagoja Milevski's team is having an excellent Nations League campaign. Having defeated their main rivals, Armenia, twice, the team has practically secured the group victory. The upcoming opponent can only overtake North Macedonia if they win this match by four goals and gain three more points in the final round. Latvia could also triumph in the group with a three-goal win in the upcoming match, but they would need to overcome the goal difference deficit against North Macedonia. However, I don't think the hosts will leave it to the last round; they likely plan to secure first place in this match, needing only to avoid defeat.
Given North Macedonia's form in previous matches, I believe they won't settle for a draw. The team has the opportunity to set a personal record in the Nations League with a fourth consecutive victory. Their longest winning streak in the tournament so far is three matches. Moreover, North Macedonia is strong at home, winning 7 of 10 Nations League matches. In the first round, the Balkan team confidently defeated Latvia away with a 3-0 scoreline.
Therefore, my prediction is a "Victory for North Macedonia".