The Matchday 5 of the Nations League between North Macedonia and Latvia in Group 4 of League C will take place on November 14 at the Tose Proeski Stadium in Skopje. North Macedonia vs Latvia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Giorgi Kikacheishvili (Georgia)
Matches – 12 (International matches, 2023/24-2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 59;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.9;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 50%.
Probable lineups for North Macedonia vs Latvia
North Macedonia (4-3-3): Stole Dimitrievski – Ezgjan Alioski, Nikola Serafimov, Gjoko Zajkov, Jovan Manev – Enis Bardhi, Isnik Alimi, Darko Churlinov – Bojan Dimoski, Aleksandar Trajkovski, Elif Elmas.
Latvia (4-4-2): Rihards Matrevics – Roberts Savalnieks, Kristers Tobers, Daniels Balodis, Raivis Jurkovskis – Dmitrijs Zelenkovs, Eduards Dashkevics, Aleksejs Saveļjevs, Renars Varslavans – Roberts Uldrikis, Vladislavs Gutkovskis.
North Macedonia
North Macedonia secured their third consecutive clean sheet victory in the Nations League by defeating Armenia 2-0 in the last round. Notably, the team achieved three straight wins without conceding for the first time in this tournament. The victory over Armenia almost guaranteed Blagoja Milevski's side the top spot in the group, as only Latvia can theoretically overtake them, though it would require an unlikely scenario. North Macedonia is tied for fourth place among the highest-scoring teams in League C, having scored eight goals, and shares the lead with Northern Ireland and Belarus in the best defenses ranking, conceding just one goal.
- At least one opponent has failed to score in eight of the last nine Nations League matches involving North Macedonia.
- No more than two goals have been scored in five of North Macedonia's last six Nations League games.
- At home, the team has won seven of their last 10 matches in this tournament (one draw, two losses).
Latvia
Latvia recorded their first draw in this Nations League campaign, ending their previous match against the Faroe Islands with a 1-1 scoreline. This result broke their three-match uncompromising streak in the tournament (one win, two losses). The team remains in third place in the group standings, trailing their upcoming opponent by six points. Notably, Latvia is the worst team in the group in terms of goals scored and conceded, having scored just three times while conceding eight goals.
Forward Janis Ikaunieks will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
- Latvia has scored in 11 of their last 12 Nations League matches.
- The team has won with a handicap (+1.5) in 16 of their last 18 matches in this tournament.
- Both teams scored in six of Latvia's last eight away games in the Nations League.
North Macedonia vs Latvia: Match Prediction
Blagoja Milevski's team is having an excellent Nations League campaign. Having defeated their main rivals, Armenia, twice, the team has almost secured the group victory. The upcoming opponent can only overtake North Macedonia if they win this match by four goals and earn three more points in the final round. Latvia might also triumph in the group with a three-goal win in the upcoming match, but they would need to overcome the goal difference deficit against North Macedonia. However, I don't think the hosts will leave it to the last round; they are likely planning to secure first place after this match, needing only to avoid defeat.
Given North Macedonia's form in previous matches, I don't think they will settle for a draw. The team has the chance to set their own record in the Nations League by securing their fourth consecutive victory. Their longest winning streak in the tournament so far is three matches. Moreover, North Macedonia has been strong at home, winning seven of their last 10 Nations League matches. They also confidently defeated Latvia 3-0 away in the first round.
Therefore, my prediction is a North Macedonia win at odds of
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