The Matchday 14 Bundesliga clash between Mainz and Bayern will take place on December 14 at the Mewa Arena. Mainz vs. Bayern: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Frank Willenborg (Germany)
Matches – 15 (Bundesliga, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 75;
Average yellow cards per match – 5;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 27%.
Predicted lineups for Mainz vs. Bayern
Mainz (3-4-2-1): Robin Zentner – Dominik Kohr, Stefan Bell, Danny da Costa – Philipp Mwene, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Anthony Caci – Lee Jae-sung, Paul Nebel – Jonathan Burkardt.
Bayern (4-2-3-1): Daniel Peretz – Alphonso Davies, Kim Min-jae, Dayot Upamecano, Sacha Boey – Alexander Pavlovic, Joshua Kimmich – Leroy Sane, Raphael Guerreiro, Michael Olise – Thomas Muller.
Each team's starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is listed.
Mainz
In the last round, Bo Henriksen's side suffered a 3-4 defeat to Wolfsburg. This result ended the team's unbeaten run of five matches in the German championship (3 wins, 2 draws). In the Bundesliga standings, the club is in 9th place, just two points away from the European competition zone.
- The team has not won in 5 of their last 7 home matches in the league (2 draws, 3 losses).
- No more than three goals have been scored in 8 of Mainz's last 9 home games in this tournament.
- The club scored first in 5 of their last 6 Bundesliga matches.
Bayern
Vincent Kompany's side defeated Heidenheim 4-2 in their last Bundesliga match. This result extended the Munich team's unbeaten run to 13 matches in the league (10 wins, 3 draws). In the standings, the club maintains the top spot, with a six-point lead over their closest rival, Eintracht. Notably, Bayern has the best goal difference among all teams in the championship – 41:10.
Alphonso Davies and Kingsley Coman will not play due to health issues.
- The team has not lost in their last 7 away matches in the Bundesliga (5 wins, 2 draws).
- The club scored at least twice in 6 of their last 8 away games in this tournament.
- No fewer than three goals have been scored in 16 of Bayern's last 18 away matches in the league.
Mainz vs. Bayern: Match Prediction
Bo Henriksen's side regularly scores at home – Mainz has found the net in 13 of their last 15 matches at the Mewa Arena in the league. However, the club's defense is not very reliable – they conceded 9 goals in their last 7 Bundesliga home games.
The Munich defense in the current Bundesliga campaign is not always flawless, especially away, where Bayern conceded 7 goals in 7 matches. Meanwhile, Vincent Kompany's side's attacking power is undeniable – the club scored 24 goals in their last 7 away games in this tournament. It's also worth noting that both teams scored in 11 of Bayern's last 14 away league matches.
The head-to-head statistics also suggest both teams will score – both opponents have found the net in the last 6 meetings at Mainz's field in the Bundesliga. I believe the upcoming match will be no exception. My prediction: Both teams to score – yes
