The Matchday 16 clash in the Bundesliga between Mainz and Bochum will take place on January 11 at the Mewa Arena. Mainz vs. Bochum: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Benjamin Brand (Germany)
Matches – 7 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 24;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 14%.
Predicted lineups for Mainz vs. Bochum
Mainz (3-4-2-1): Robin Zentner – Dominik Kohr, Stefan Bell, Danny da Costa – Philipp Mwene, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Anthony Caci – Lee Jae-sung, Paul Nebel – Armindo Sieb.
Bochum (3-4-1-2): Patrick Drewes – Bernardo, Ivan Ordets, Tim Erman – Maximilian Wittek, Anthony Losilla, Ibrahima Cissoko, Felix Passlack – Matus Bero – Philipp Hofmann, Moritz Broschinski.
Each team’s lineup is based on their previous match in this tournament.
Mainz
In Matchday 15, Bo Henriksen's side defeated Eintracht 3-1. The team has been performing confidently in recent Bundesliga matches, losing only once in their last eight league games (5 wins, 2 draws). These successful results have lifted Mainz to 5th place in the Bundesliga standings, a position they have not held before in this season. The club is two points behind the Champions League zone, while their closest rival, Borussia Dortmund, is only behind on goal difference.
Key midfielder Nadiem Amiri will miss the match due to suspension.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 9 of the team's last 10 home matches in this tournament.
- Mainz has won 5 of their last 6 league games.
- The club scored first in their last 4 home Bundesliga matches.
Bochum
In the previous round, Dieter Hecking's side defeated Heidenheim 2-0. Including a technical victory over Union (2-0), the club has won only two matches in this championship. Bochum remains at the bottom of the Bundesliga table, but recent successes have reduced their gap to the playoff zone to two points. Notably, the club has scored only 14 goals this season (including the technical victory), with only two tournament participants having worse records.
Key midfielder Koji Miyoshi will miss the match due to suspension.
- Bochum has conceded at least two goals in 5 of their last 7 away Bundesliga matches.
- The team has lost 8 of their last 9 away games in this tournament.
- The club conceded first in 4 of their last 5 away matches in the league.
Mainz vs. Bochum: Match Prediction
Bo Henriksen's team has not struggled with scoring at home in Bundesliga matches, having found the net in 14 of their last 16 home games in this tournament. However, they cannot boast a strong defense, as Mainz has conceded at least one goal in 7 of their last 8 home league matches. They kept a clean sheet only against Hoffenheim, which has the worst away attack in the 2024/25 Bundesliga.
Bochum regularly makes defensive errors in away league matches, conceding in 17 of their last 18 away games in this tournament. However, they have been better in attack, scoring in 5 of their last 7 Bundesliga matches. I anticipate that both teams will score in the upcoming match. My prediction: Both teams to score – yes
