The Matchday 5 clash in the Bundesliga between Mainz and Borussia Dortmund will take place on September 27 at the Mewa Arena. Mainz vs. Borussia Dortmund: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Mainz
In the last round, Bo Henriksen's side confidently defeated Augsburg away (4-1). As a result, Mainz secured their first victory in the current Bundesliga season and ended a four-match winless streak in the league (2 draws, 2 losses). Additionally, the team scored more than three goals for only the second time in the last two Bundesliga seasons. The club has collected four points and climbed to 13th place in the standings.
- The team has not won in their last seven home matches in the Bundesliga (5 draws, 2 losses).
- The club conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in their last seven home games in the league.
- Both opponents scored in 5 of Mainz's last 7 home matches in the Bundesliga.
Predicted lineup for Mainz (3-4-3)
Robin Zentner – Danny da Costa, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Dominik Kohr – Anthony Caci, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Philipp Mwene – Arno Norden, Paul Nebel, Armindo Sieb.
Defender Anthony Caci will miss the match due to injury. Midfielder Dominik Kohr is suspended.
Borussia Dortmund
Niko Kovac's side overcame Wolfsburg at home in the last round (1-0). As a result, Borussia Dortmund extended their unbeaten run in the Bundesliga to 12 matches (10 wins, 2 draws). However, for the first time in this stretch, the club scored less than two goals. On the other hand, the team kept a clean sheet for the third time in the current championship. In the standings, Dortmund is second with ten points, trailing leaders Bayern by two points.
- The club has not lost in their last six away matches in the Bundesliga (4 wins, 2 draws).
- The team scored at least twice in their last six away games in the league.
- Dortmund conceded exactly 2 or 3 goals in 5 of their last 7 away matches in the Bundesliga.
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (3-4-3)
Gregor Kobel – Nico Schlotterbeck, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini – Julian Ryerson, Marcel Sabitzer, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson – Karim Adeyemi, Serhou Guirassy, Maximilian Bayer.
Defenders Niklas Süle and Emre Can, as well as forward Fabio Silva, will not play due to injuries.
Referee
Tobias Reichel (Germany)
Matches – 14 (Bundesliga, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 59;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 43%.
Match Prediction: Mainz vs. Borussia Dortmund
In the current championship, Mainz has lost both home matches in the Bundesliga, and the club's winless streak at home in the league has reached seven matches. However, the team strives to delight their fans with an attacking game and regularly finds the net: in 15 of their last home Bundesliga matches, Mainz failed to score only three times, and in nine of these games, they scored at least two goals.
Borussia is in excellent form and continues to pick up points even away from home: in their last six away matches, the team has not lost, securing four wins during this period. Additionally, Dortmund plays an attacking style and has no issues with scoring: in each of these matches, the club's players scored at least twice, netting a total of 18 goals.
I expect a high-scoring game and anticipate a positive result for Borussia. My prediction: X2 and Total over 2.5 goals
* Each team's lineup is based on their last match in this tournament.
