The Matchday 26 encounter in La Liga between Mallorca and Alaves will be held on March 2 at the Son Moix Stadium. Mallorca vs. Alaves: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Mallorca
The team has managed to avoid defeat in three consecutive La Liga matches for only the second time this season. In their latest unbeaten run, the islanders drew with Osasuna and Sevilla (both 1-1) and defeated Las Palmas 3-1. Jagoba Arrasate's side is positioned 8th in the league table, trailing Rayo Vallecano and Betis, who are above them, only on goal difference.
- At least two goals have been scored in 10 of the club's last 12 La Liga games.
- Mallorca has secured only one first-half victory in their last 19 league matches (13 draws and 5 losses).
- The team has conceded in their last seven home league matches.
Predicted lineup for Mallorca (5-3-2)
Dominik Greif – Martin Valjent, Jose Manuel Copete, Antonio Raillo, Johan Mojica, Jose Pablo Mafeo – Daniel Rodriguez, Omar Mascarell, Sergi Darder – Takuma Asano, Vedat Muriqi.
Defender Johan Mojica will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Alaves
The Basque side has not tasted victory in their last five La Liga outings. During this stretch, the club has drawn twice in high-scoring games and lost 0-1 to Barcelona, Getafe, and Espanyol. Additionally, the team has only one win in their last 11 league matches (6 draws and 6 losses). Eduardo Coudet's side is in the relegation zone but only one point behind the safety of 17th place.
- The club has conceded in their last 13 league matches.
- In their last five away La Liga matches, Alaves has suffered only one defeat (1 win and 3 draws).
- At least two goals have been scored in the second half of 6 of Alaves' last 7 away league matches.
Predicted lineup for Alaves (4-4-2)
Antonio Sivera – Abdel Abqar, Moussa Diarra, Nahuel Tenaglia, Santiago Mourino – Antonio Blanco, Carlos Vicente, Joan Jordan, Carles Alena – Kike Garcia, Toni Martinez.
Forwards Hugo Novoa and Tomas Konechny will not play due to injuries.
Referee
Cesar Soto Grado (Spain)
Matches – 14 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 60;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 14%.
Mallorca vs. Alaves: Match Prediction
The islanders have a good chance of qualifying for European competitions this season. I believe the hosts can aim for three points in the upcoming match, as they are particularly strong at home. In their last 39 home La Liga matches, they have suffered only nine defeats, losing exclusively to teams that are representing La Liga in European competitions this season or consistently competing for a top-6 finish (15 wins and 15 draws).
Additionally, Mallorca has not lost to this opponent in 5 of their last 6 league meetings (3 wins and 2 draws). It's also worth noting Alaves' away results. In their last 11 away league matches, the Basques have secured only one victory (3 draws and 7 losses). Furthermore, Alaves concedes an average of 2 goals per game away in La Liga, with only Valladolid having a worse defensive record in away matches.
My prediction – Mallorca with a handicap (0)
