The Matchday 5 clash in La Liga between Mallorca and Atletico Madrid will take place on September 21 at the Son Moix Stadium. Mallorca vs. Atletico Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Mallorca
The Islanders, along with Girona and Levante, have each earned 1 point and are among the bottom three. Jagoba Arrasate's side currently only have a draw with Celta (1-1) to their name, while they have suffered defeats against Barcelona (0-3), Real Madrid (1-2), and Espanyol (2-3). Additionally, the team's winless streak in the league has reached 7 matches (2 draws and 5 losses).
- Both teams scored in 6 of Mallorca's last 8 La Liga games.
- At least 3 goals were scored in 6 of the club's last 8 league matches.
- The Islanders have not lost in the first half in 16 of their last 18 home games in La Liga (4 wins and 12 draws).
Predicted lineup for Mallorca (5-3-2)
Leo Roman – Marash Kumbulla, Martin Valjent, Antonio Raillo, Mateu Morey, Joan Mojica – Sergi Darder, Manu Morlanes, Pablo Torre – Vedat Muriqi, Mateo Joseph.
The club has suspended its captain, midfielder Daniel Rodriguez, for several games.
Atletico Madrid
Diego Simeone's side secured their first league victory in their last match. The team defeated Villarreal 2-0 at home. Before that, they had two draws with Alaves and Elche (both 1-1). The Madrid team has slightly moved up the table and is currently in 11th place ahead of Matchday 5. Notably, the defeat to Espanyol at the start of the season is their only loss in the last 6 La Liga matches (3 wins and 2 draws).
- At least two goals have been scored in Atletico's last 8 league games.
- The Madrid side conceded more than 1 goal only in 2 of their last 11 La Liga matches.
- In their last 6 away matches in La Liga, the club has won only once (2 draws and 3 losses).
Predicted lineup for Atletico Madrid (4-4-2)
Jan Oblak – Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, Matteo Ruggeri – Nicolas Gonzalez, Pablo Barrios, Koke, Giuliano Simeone – Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.
Due to injuries, midfielder Thiago Almada, defenders Jose Maria Gimenez and Alex Baena are out. Forward Julian Alvarez and midfielder Johnny Cardoso are doubtful for the match.
Referee
Francisco Jose Hernandez (Spain)
Matches – 19 (La Liga, 2024/2025);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 87;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 16%.
Match Prediction: Mallorca vs. Atletico Madrid
During the week, the Madrid team played a Champions League match against Liverpool, coming back from a two-goal deficit but narrowly losing 2-3. Nonetheless, such a performance is expected to have a positive impact on Diego Simeone's squad. Moreover, their last La Liga match against Villarreal (2-0) showed that the team has emerged from its crisis and is ready to climb up the league table.
Mallorca is likely to lose this match. The quality of their players is noticeably lower than that of the Madrid side, and no reinforcements were made in the summer. Notably, in the last five league encounters, only the capital club emerged victorious. Additionally, the match is expected to be low-scoring, as was the case in the last four meetings between these opponents in La Liga. Atletico is renowned for their strong defense, while the Islanders have weak forwards and have averaged less than 1 goal per match in La Liga in recent years.
My prediction – Atletico Madrid to win and Total under 2.5 goals
