Matchday 6 of the Nations League between Malta and Andorra in Group 2 of League D will take place on November 19 at the National Stadium in Ta' Qali. Malta vs. Andorra: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Luka Bilbija (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
Matches – 16 (International matches, 2022–2024);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 72;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 8;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 25%.
Predicted lineups for Malta vs. Andorra
Malta (3-5-2): Henry Bonello – Gabriel Menz, Kurt Shaw, Jean Borg – Trent Buhagiar, Matthew Guillaumier, Joseph Mbong, Ryan Camenzuli, Teddy Teuma – Joseph Mbong, Luke Montebello.
Andorra (5-4-1): Iker Alvarez – Moises San Nicolas, Joan Cervos, Max Llovera, Christian Garcia, Bilel Borra – Joan Cervos, Ricard Fernandez, Eric Vales, Joao Teixeira – Aaron Sanchez.
The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.
Malta
Davide Mazzotta's side missed the last round, opting for a friendly against Liechtenstein, which they won comfortably (2-0). In Group 2, the fate of the Maltese is already sealed. The crucial defeat came with a 0-2 loss to Moldova. Although Malta can still equal Moldova in points, they will remain second due to an inferior goal difference in head-to-head matches. Nevertheless, the team still has a chance to reach League C but only through playoff matches against a representative from that league.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 6 of Malta's last 8 Nations League matches.
- Four penalties have been converted in Malta's last four games in this tournament.
- The team has scored exactly 1 goal in 6 of their last 7 home games in the Nations League.
Andorra
Three days ago, the team lost at home to Moldova with a score of 0-1. Incidentally, both home games under Koldo Alvarez's leadership ended with this result. Another match, held away against Moldova, ended 0-2. Thus, having not earned a single point or scored a goal, Andorra has lost all chances to compete for at least second place in Group 2.
Midfielders Marc Pujol and Eric Vales will miss the game due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
- Exactly one or two goals have been scored in Andorra's last five Nations League matches.
- At least one team failed to score in 12 of Andorra's last 16 games in this tournament.
- At least two goals have been scored in Andorra's last six away games in the Nations League.
Malta vs. Andorra: Match Prediction
Despite the lack of tournament motivation for both teams, I predict that the hosts will easily handle the group's underdog. Malta can improve their official standings through matches against weaker teams. Additionally, the team plays at home, where they have lost only twice in nine Nations League matches.
Andorra, on the other hand, can only defeat or earn points against teams like Liechtenstein or San Marino. Even against Malta, they struggle. The last meeting between these opponents in Malta ended in a 3-1 victory for the hosts. Furthermore, in Andorra's last 10 away Nations League matches, they have lost 7 times (2 draws with Latvia and a win over Liechtenstein), with 6 of those losses by a margin of two or more goals.
My prediction – “Malta with a handicap (-1.5)”