The Matchday 13 Premier League clash between Manchester City and Leeds will take place on November 29 at the Etihad Stadium. Manchester City vs. Leeds: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Manchester City
The Citizens suffered a 1-2 defeat away to Newcastle in the last round, breaking a short-lived two-match winning streak in the Premier League. Additionally, the team lost at home to Bayer Leverkusen (0-2) in the Champions League on Tuesday. It's evident that the team is far from their optimal form and lacks stability at the moment. Nevertheless, the club currently sits in a high third place in the Premier League, although their gap from leaders Arsenal has grown to seven points. Notably, alongside the Gunners, Pep Guardiola's side boasts the best attack in the league with 24 goals scored.
- The Citizens have not lost in 7 of their last 9 Premier League matches (6 wins and 1 draw).
- No more than three goals have been scored in 9 of Manchester City's last 11 Premier League games.
- The team has a 5-match winning streak at home in the Premier League.
Projected lineup for Manchester City (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Matheus Nunes, Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, Niko O’Reilly – Nico Gonzalez, Bernardo Silva, Phil Foden – Jeremy Doku, Rayan Cherki, Erling Haaland.
Midfielders Mateo Kovacic and Rodri Hernandez are out due to injuries.
Leeds
Daniel Farke's side has slipped into the relegation zone after suffering three consecutive defeats in the league. Such a streak hasn't occurred for the club in the Premier League since April 2023. The team first lost away to Brighton (0-3) and Nottingham Forest (1-3), and in the last round, they were defeated at home by Aston Villa (1-2). Importantly, Leeds has scored only 11 goals, with only Wolverhampton scoring fewer in the Premier League with 7 goals.
- In their last seven league matches, the club has managed just one victory (1 draw and 5 losses).
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Leeds' last 8 Premier League games.
- Both teams have scored in 6 of Leeds' last 8 Premier League matches.
Projected lineup for Leeds (5-3-2)
Lucas Perry – Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Ethan Ampadu, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Pascal Struijk – Sean Longstaff, Anton Stach, Brenden Aaronson – Lukas Nmecha, Noah Okafor.
Referee
Peter Bankes (England)
Matches – 9 (Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 37;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 44%.
Match Prediction: Manchester City vs. Leeds
Two consecutive defeats at the official level have slightly unsettled Pep Guardiola. Interestingly, last season the team had worse performances in November-December, and that slump was also due to Rodri Hernandez's injury. However, this time Mateo Kovacic, another central midfielder, is also sidelined due to injury. Therefore, the coach will have to make several adjustments to improve the midfield play.
I believe the Citizens will easily overcome Leeds. The league newcomer is not even considered a mid-table Premier League team and may end up among the bottom three by the end of the season. Moreover, the match will take place at the Etihad, where Manchester City, in any condition, can defeat even stronger opponents. In their last five home Premier League matches, the Citizens have not only won but have done so by at least a two-goal margin. Meanwhile, Leeds has lost their last three away Premier League games, by two or three goals. Furthermore, Manchester City has won their last four encounters against Leeds, three of which were by a convincing margin.
My prediction – Manchester City with a handicap (-1.5)
