The Premier League matchday 27 clash between Manchester City and Newcastle United will take place on 21 February at the Etihad Stadium. Manchester City vs Newcastle United: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Manchester City
Manchester City go into this fixture on the back of two straight league wins. The club beat Liverpool away from home (2:1) and then thrashed Fulham (3:0) on their own patch. Overall, the team's unbeaten run in the Premier League now stands at four matches (three wins and one draw). Notably, in each of those games the club scored at least twice. As a result, Manchester City sit clear at the top for goals scored with 54, although not yet for points — still, the gap to leaders Arsenal has been cut to five points, with a game in hand.
- In their last 14 Premier League matches, the team have suffered just one defeat (nine wins and four draws).
- Exactly two or three goals were scored in six of Manchester City's last seven league matches.
- At home, the Citizens have won 10 of their last 12 Premier League games.
Potential Manchester City Lineup (4-3-3)*
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Rayan Ait-Nouri, Matheus Nunes, Ruben Dias, Marc Guehi – Rodri, Nico O'Reilly, Bernardo Silva – Phil Foden, Antoine Semenyo, Erling Haaland.
Defender Josko Gvardiol, forward Jeremy Doku and midfielder Mateo Kovacic are unavailable due to injuries.
Newcastle United
Newcastle United have finally picked up a Premier League victory. The side travelled to Tottenham and beat the Londoners 2:1. Prior to that, the club had gone four matches without a win, drawing 0:0 with Wolverhampton Wanderers before suffering three consecutive defeats. Newcastle United have been inconsistent this season, which is why they currently sit only 10th in the standings. At the same time, the gap to the European places continues to grow and now stands at eight points.
- The club have failed to win 13 of their last 16 away Premier League matches (five draws and eight defeats).
- Both teams to score landed in seven of Newcastle United's last 10 away games in the Premier League.
- The team have won the first half only once in their last seven league matches (two draws and four defeats).
Potential Newcastle United Lineup (4-3-3)*
Nick Pope – Sven Botman, Kieran Trippier, Dan Burn, Malick Thiaw – Bruno Guimaraes, Joe Willock, Jacob Ramsey – Anthony Gordon, Anthony Elanga, Harvey Barnes.
Defenders Fabian Schar, Valentino Livramento and Emil Krafth, as well as midfielder Bruno Guimaraes and forward Yoane Wissa, will miss the match through injury.
Referee
Tom Bramall (England)
Matches – 14 (the Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 52;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.7;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 36%.
Manchester City vs Newcastle United: Match Prediction
Manchester City have put a difficult January behind them and are enjoying an excellent run in February. Based on recent results — namely the emphatic win over a solid Fulham, as well as the away victory against Liverpool — the Citizens look set to head into the spring phase of the season in good spirits. Cutting the gap to Arsenal should also give the side extra confidence, especially given the Gunners have finished second in the Premier League in each of the last two campaigns and could once again fall short in the title race. However, there is little point relying on slip-ups from a rival — Manchester City also need to keep winning every match right now.
We believe the hosts will claim a convincing victory. At home, the Citizens have won 10 of their last 12 Premier League matches. In that home run, the club won by a margin of two or more goals nine times. Newcastle United are frankly poor on the road and, in their last 16 away Premier League games, have managed to beat only Tottenham, Burnley and Everton. On top of that, Manchester City have won all of the last 16 head-to-head meetings in the Premier League at the Etihad Stadium, and on 12 occasions by a margin of at least two goals.
Prediction: Manchester City (-1.5)
* For each team, the starting line-up shown is from their most recent match in this competition.
