The Matchday 4 clash in the 2025/26 Champions League group stage between Marseille (France) and Atalanta (Italy) will take place on November 5 at the Velodrome Stadium. Marseille vs. Atalanta: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Marseille
In the last Champions League round, the club suffered a disappointing defeat to Sporting, conceding the decisive goal in the dying moments. Overall, Marseille has lost 2 of their 3 matches in this season's tournament, but it's worth noting that both losses occurred away from home. Their only home fixture resulted in a resounding victory, as they thrashed Ajax 4-0. Roberto De Zerbi's side has scored in every Champions League match, with a scoring streak lasting four games. However, it should be added that in their last seven encounters in this European competition, Marseille has kept a clean sheet only once. In the overall standings, the club is in 18th place.
- The team has lost 21 of their last 26 matches in the Champions League.
- The French side's uncompromising streak in this tournament spans 29 games (7 wins, 22 losses).
- Marseille has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of their last 9 Champions League matches.
Predicted lineup for Marseille (4-2-3-1)
Geronimo Rulli – Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, CJ Egan-Riley, Amir Murillo – Matt O'Riley, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg – Mason Greenwood, Angel Gomes, Igor Paixao – Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
Defender Emerson Palmieri is suspended. Due to injuries, defenders Facundo Medina and Leonardo Balerdi, midfielders Geoffrey Kondogbia and Timothy Weah, as well as forward Amine Gouiri, are unavailable. Midfielder Bilal Nadir is doubtful for the match.
Atalanta
Like Marseille, Atalanta has secured only one victory in their first three Champions League matches. However, after a heavy defeat in the away game against PSG, the team picked up four points in home matches against Club Brugge and Slavia Prague. In the standings, Ivan Juric's side is positioned just above their upcoming opponent. It's worth noting that the Italians have won only 1 of their last 6 Champions League matches (2 draws, 3 losses), and before the recent game against Slavia, the club failed to keep a clean sheet in five consecutive matches in this European competition.
- Atalanta has won with a handicap (+1.5) in 17 of their last 19 Champions League games.
- The team has conceded in 8 of their last 10 away matches in this tournament.
- The Italians have scored at least 2 goals in 7 of their last 9 away Champions League encounters.
Predicted lineup for Atalanta (3-4-3)
Marco Carnesecchi – Odilon Kossounou, Isak Hien, Berat Djimsiti – Nicola Zalewski, Ederson, Mario Pasalic, Davide Zappacosta – Charles De Ketelaere, Nikola Krstovic, Ademola Lookman.
Defender Giorgio Scalvini will miss the match due to injury.
Referee
Jose Maria Sanchez (Spain)
Matches – 14 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 47;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 21%.
Match Prediction: Marseille vs. Atalanta
The opponents have not shown their best in the Champions League, yet regardless of the outcome, they consistently deliver entertaining matches. In all of Marseille's matches in this season's tournament, at least 3 goals have been scored, and this benchmark has been reached in 6 of the last 7 games for the French side in this European competition. Looking strictly at home matches, fewer than 3 goals have been scored in only 1 of Marseille's last 6 Champions League encounters.
Atalanta recorded a goalless draw in the last round, but this is a rare exception to the rule. Before the match against Slavia, the team had played 8 consecutive high-scoring games in the Champions League, with at least 4 goals in 6 of those 8 games. Additionally, at least 3 goals have been scored in 9 of Atalanta's last 10 away matches in this European competition, and the scoring often doesn't stop at 3 goals.
The prediction suggests – Total over 2.5 goals
