The Matchday 16 clash in Ligue 1 between Marseille and Le Havre will take place on January 5 at the Velodrome Stadium. Marseille vs. Le Havre: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Thomas Leonard (France)
Matches – 8 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 30;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.7;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 13%.
Predicted lineups for Marseille vs. Le Havre
Marseille (3-4-2-1): Geronimo Rulli – Geoffrey Kondogbia, Leonardo Balerdi, Michael Murillo – Quentin Merlin, Valentin Rongier, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Luis Henrique – Adrien Rabiot, Mason Greenwood – Neal Maupay.
Le Havre (3-5-1-1): Arthur Desmas – Gautier Lloris, Etienne Kinkoue, Timothee Pembele – Christopher Operi, Yanis Zouaoui, Rassoul Ndiaye, Abdoulaye Toure, Loic Nego – Oussama Targhalline, Steve Ngoura.
The starting lineup for each team in their previous match in this tournament is listed.
Marseille
In the 15th round, Roberto De Zerbi's side drew 1-1 with Lille. This result ended the team's three-match winning streak in the league. The club is in second place in the standings, with their closest rival Monaco trailing only on goal difference. Notably, Marseille has conceded 11 goals at home in Ligue 1-2024/25, with only three teams from the lower half of the table performing worse.
- The club has not won in 4 of their last 5 home league matches (2 draws, 2 losses).
- Both teams scored in 8 of their last 10 home matches in this tournament.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 5 of Marseille's last 6 home Ligue 1 matches.
Le Havre
In the last round, the team suffered a heavy 0-3 defeat to Strasbourg. The club has lost 10 of their last 12 matches in this Ligue 1 season, winning only two in this period. Le Havre is in 17th place in the standings, just one point away from the playoff zone. Notably, Didier Digard's side has scored only 11 goals in this championship, the lowest among all participants.
- Opponents have scored no more than two goals in 6 of Le Havre's last 8 away Ligue 1 matches.
- One team failed to score in 6 of the club's last 8 away league games.
- Le Havre conceded first in 5 of their last 6 away matches in this tournament.
Marseille vs. Le Havre: Match Prediction
Roberto De Zerbi's side has not been prolific in home matches this Ligue 1 season, scoring just 9 goals in 7 home games (a figure better than only three Ligue 1-2024/25 teams). In those games, Marseille has never scored more than two goals, even against modest opposition like Angers (1-1).
Le Havre may not boast a solid defense, but they do not allow opponents to create many scoring chances. The team has not conceded more than two goals in 7 of their last 8 away league games. Monaco was the only club to score twice against Le Havre in this period (1-3).
I believe that the visitors will not concede many in the upcoming match. My prediction: Marseille Individual Total Under 2.5
