Matchday 15 in Ligue 1 will see Marseille take on Lille on December 14 at the Velodrome Stadium. Marseille vs. Lille: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Willy Delajod (France)
Matches – 8 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 33;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 38%.
Predicted lineups for Marseille vs. Lille
Marseille (3-4-3): Geronimo Rulli – Michael Murillo, Leonardo Balerdi, Geoffrey Kondogbia – Luis Henrique, Valentin Rongier, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Quentin Merlin – Mason Greenwood, Adrien Rabiot, Neal Maupay.
Lille (4-5-1): Lucas Chevalier – Gabriel Gudmundsson, Alexsandro Ribeiro, Bafode Diakite, Aissa Mandi – Ngalael Mukau, Benjamin Andre, Matias Fernandez Pardo, Hakón Arnar Haraldsson, Edon Zhegrova – Jonathan David.
Each team's starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is listed.
Marseille
Marseille extended their winning streak to three games in Ligue 1 by defeating Saint-Etienne 2-0 in the last round. This matches the club's longest winning streak in the current championship. The successful run has lifted Marseille to second place in the standings of the elite French division, reducing the gap to the leader to five points. Additionally, Marseille continues to be prolific in the current Ligue 1 season, having scored 31 goals, second only to PSG (37).
- The team has scored at least twice in 15 of their last 20 matches in the French championship.
- Marseille's uncompromising streak in this tournament stands at seven matches (5 wins, 2 losses).
- Both teams scored in 7 of Marseille's last 9 home matches in Ligue 1.
Lille
After defeating Brest 3-1 in their previous French championship match, Lille extended their unbeaten run in the tournament to 10 matches (5 wins, 5 draws). This is the second-longest active unbeaten streak in Ligue 1 after PSG, who have been undefeated for 16 matches. Bruno Genesio's side has also scored in six consecutive league matches. In the Ligue 1 standings, Lille is in fourth place, trailing Marseille by just three points.
Defenders Tiago Santos and Samuel Umtiti, midfielders Angel Gomes, Ethan Mbappe, Nabil Bentaleb, and forward Edon Zhegrova will miss the match due to injuries.
- The team scored first in their last six league matches.
- Lille has not lost in their last five away matches in Ligue 1 (2 wins, 3 draws).
- Lille scored at least twice in 7 of their last 9 away matches in the elite French championship.
Marseille vs. Lille: Match Prediction
Both teams are in excellent form and have been performing well throughout the season without significant slumps. However, the hosts will have several advantages. Firstly, they will play with the support of their home crowd, and secondly, Marseille is focused solely on domestic French tournaments, unlike Lille, who are competing in the Champions League. This week, Bruno Genesio's team is also playing an additional European match against Sturm, which could affect their freshness.
Moreover, Lille traditionally performs worse away than at home. In their last away match, they failed to overcome the current championship outsider Montpellier, drawing 2-2. Playing on two fronts and having squad issues are impacting their results. While they are on a solid unbeaten run in Ligue 1, they have only secured three points in half of those 10 matches.
It's also important to note that Lille has struggled against Marseille away, failing to win in 12 of their last 13 league meetings (5 draws, 7 losses). Therefore, I believe the hosts are more likely to succeed this time. My prediction: Marseille with a handicap (0)