The Matchday 4 clash in Ligue 1 between Marseille and Lorient will take place on September 12 at the Velodrome Stadium. Marseille vs. Lorient: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Marseille
After an unsuccessful away game against Rennes in the opening round of the championship (0-1), Marseille rebounded by thrashing Paris at home (5-2). However, they suffered another defeat in a crucial match against Lyon (0-1). With 3 points, the team sits in 10th place in the standings. Marseille has failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 consecutive league matches. Despite this, they have won 8 of their last 9 home games in the tournament, although they conceded in seven of them.
- Marseille has scored at least 3 goals in 7 of their last 9 home Ligue 1 matches.
- Both teams scored in 12 of the last 14 games at Marseille's home ground in the league.
- Marseille has conceded in 15 of their last 16 home matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Marseille (4-2-3-1)
Geronimo Rulli – Amir Murillo, Leonardo Balerdi, CJ Egan-Riley, Timothy Weah – Angel Gomes, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg – Mason Greenwood, Bilal Nadir, Amad Traore – Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
Key defender CJ Egan-Riley will miss the game due to suspension. The club has added defenders Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, and Emerson, as well as midfielders Matthew O’Riley and Arthur Vermeren.
Lorient
The team started with a narrow defeat to Auxerre (0-1), then confidently defeated Rennes (4-0), who were reduced to nine men by the 11th minute. In the last round, despite home support, they suffered a heavy defeat to Lille (1-7), marking Lorient's largest-ever Ligue 1 defeat, conceding 7 goals for the first time in a game. Like Marseille, Lorient has secured only 3 points but sits 15th in the table. In 3 matches, Olivier Pantaloni's side has conceded 8 goals in total – more than any other team in the tournament.
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Lorient's last 9 league matches.
- The team has lost 9 of their last 11 Ligue 1 games.
- Lorient has scored at least one goal in 6 of their last 8 matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Lorient (3-4-3)
Bingourou Kamara – Abdoulaye Diagne-Faye, Montassar Talbi, Igor Silva – Panos Katseris, Arthur Avom, Laurent Abergel, Arsene Kouassi – Karim Dermane, Sambou Soumano, Tosin Aiyegun.
Lorient has taken defender Bamo Meite on loan from Marseille.
Referee
Thomas Leonard (France)
Matches – 21 (Ligue 1, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 76;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 19%.
Marseille vs. Lorient: Match Prediction
In 2 of Marseille's 3 matches this Ligue 1 season, only 1 goal was scored, but both of these low-scoring games were away. However, their home match against Paris was thrilling, with 7 goals scored. Overall, the 3-goal mark has been surpassed in 7 of the last 9 matches at Marseille's home ground in the French championship.
Lorient also enjoys entertaining the fans, with 13 goals scored in their 3 matches this Ligue 1 season – only Lille has a higher total (15 goals). In head-to-head matches with Marseille in the league, the teams have combined for at least 3 goals in 6 of the last 7 games. This trend is also evident in Lorient's away Ligue 1 matches: at least 3 goals have been scored in 8 of their last 11 games.
In my opinion, all signs point to another high-scoring encounter between Marseille and Lorient. Prediction – Total over 2.5 goals
