The Ligue 1 Matchday 24 clash between Marseille and Lyon will take place on 1 March at the Velodrome. Marseille vs Lyon: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Marseille
Marseille are in poor form and have been unable to win in four consecutive league matches. During this run, the home side suffered away defeats without scoring against Paris Saint-Germain (0:5) and Brest (0:2), while also drawing on the road with Paris and at home with Strasbourg (both 2:2). It is also worth noting that the club have conceded at least two goals in six of their last seven league fixtures. Marseille are currently fourth, but they have already dropped out of the race for the title, as they trail leaders Paris Saint-Germain by 14 points. We should also add that the team boast the second-best attack in Ligue 1, having scored 48 goals.
- At least four goals have been scored in five of Marseille's last six league games.
- Marseille have avoided defeat in 14 of their last 15 home matches in Ligue 1 (11 wins and three draws).
- The team have been unable to win the second half in seven straight league games (three draws and four defeats).
Potential Marseille Lineup (4-5-1)*
Geronimo Rulli – Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, Emerson, Timothy Weah – Arthur Vermeeren, Quinten Timber, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Mason Greenwood, Igor Paixao – Amine Gouiri.
Lyon
Lyon visited Strasbourg last round and lost 1:3. As a result, their long seven-match winning streak in the league came to an end, and the club conceded more than two goals for the first time since early November. Prior to that, the away team had kept three consecutive clean sheets in Ligue 1. Lyon remain third in the standings and are five points clear of Marseille. It is also worth noting that the club have the third-best defence in the competition, having conceded just 23 goals.
- The team have won three of their last four away matches in Ligue 1 (one defeat).
- Lyon have scored more than one goal in just four of their last 14 away league games.
- The club have suffered only one first-half defeat in their last eight Ligue 1 matches (four wins and three draws).
Potential Lyon Lineup (4-3-3)*
Dominik Greif – Clinton Mata, Moussa Niakhate, Ruben Kluivert, Abner Vinicius – Tanner Tessmann, Tyler Morton, Corentin Tolisso – Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Endrick, Pavel Schulz.
Forwards Afonso Moreira and Ernest Nuamah, midfielder Orel Mangala, as well as defender Hans Hateboer are all out injured.
Referee
Jerome Brisard (France)
Matches – 12 (Ligue 1, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 53;
Yellow cards per match on average – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 6;
Fouls per match on average – 25;
Penalties – 17%.
Marseille vs Lyon: Match Prediction
This fixture is the headline game of Matchday 24. After all, these are opponents who, in all likelihood, will battle it out for the third automatic Champions League place for next season. Therefore, motivation will be at its highest for both sides, especially for Marseille, who would fall significantly behind Lyon in the event of defeat, making it difficult to catch them later on. We expect the teams to serve up entertaining, high-scoring football in this match, as was the case in six of the last eight head-to-head meetings at the Velodrome in the league.
Marseille have started making far too many mistakes at the back. Across their last seven Ligue 1 matches, they have managed to concede fewer than two goals in only one game. We should also note that the club have scored in 14 of their last 15 home league fixtures, and on 12 occasions they netted at least twice. Lyon are on an eight-match scoring run in the competition. Away from home, the team have found the net in each of their last four Ligue 1 games, but they have also conceded in four of their last five away league matches. Meanwhile, four or more goals were scored in three of Lyon's last four away games in Ligue 1.
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
* For each team, the starting line-up from their previous match in this competition is listed.
