The Matchday 22 clash in Ligue 1 between Marseille and Saint-Etienne will take place on February 15 at the Velodrome Stadium. Marseille vs. Saint-Etienne: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Marseille
Roberto De Zerbi's side secured a 2-0 away victory over Angers in the previous round. Notably, Marseille kept a clean sheet for the first time in their last seven league matches. However, the team has been in excellent form, remaining unbeaten in nine of their last ten Ligue 1 games (7 wins, 2 draws). In the standings, the club is the closest pursuer of the leading PSG, trailing by 10 points.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Marseille's last 7 league matches.
- The number "1" appeared in the final score in 5 of the club's last 6 home games in Ligue 1.
- The team has conceded in 8 consecutive home matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Marseille (3-4-3)
Geronimo Rulli – Derek Cornelius, Leonardo Balerdi, Amir Murillo – Quentin Merlin, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Ismael Bennacer, Luis Henrique – Mason Greenwood, Adrien Rabiot, Amine Gouiri.
Midfielder Amine Harit is sidelined due to injury.
Saint-Etienne
In the last round, the team suffered a 0-2 home defeat to Rennes, extending their winless streak in the league to five matches (2 draws, 3 losses). Furthermore, Eirik Horneland's side failed to score for the first time in their last seven Ligue 1 games. Despite their goal-scoring efforts, Saint-Etienne ranks second to last in terms of scoring. The club's overall position is not much better, sitting in 16th place.
- The team has lost 6 of their last 7 away league matches (1 draw).
- Saint-Etienne has conceded at least two goals in 8 of their last 10 away matches in this tournament.
- The club has scored against their upcoming opponent in 4 of their last 5 head-to-head meetings in Ligue 1.
Predicted lineup for Saint-Etienne (4-3-3)
Gauthier Larsonneur – Leo Petrot, Mickael Nade, Pierre Cornud, Dennis Appiah – Louis Mouton, Pierre-Emerick Ekwah, Benjamin Bouchouari – Zuriko Davitashvili, Lucas Stassin, Augustin Boakye.
Referee
Abdellatif Kheradji (France)
Matches – 10 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 33;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 30%.
Match Prediction: Marseille vs. Saint-Etienne
The opponents are at opposite ends of the league table and have contrasting objectives. Marseille is striving to catch up with PSG, while Saint-Etienne is struggling to escape the relegation zone. Much of Saint-Etienne's predicament is due to their away form: the club has the worst away record, losing 9 of 11 matches in the current championship and only managing to pick up points against lower-table teams. Marseille rarely slips up at home against opponents of this caliber. Additionally, Saint-Etienne has the worst xGA in Ligue 1, and on the road, the team concedes an average of just over three goals per match in the current championship.
Roberto De Zerbi's side is second only to PSG in terms of scoring, and in 7 of their last 10 matches in this tournament, Marseille has scored at least two goals. Notably, the club has the best goal-scoring record after 21 rounds since 1972. Moreover, in their last three head-to-head meetings with Saint-Etienne, the team has scored 9 times. Additionally, Marseille has defeated their upcoming opponent at home in 14 of their last 17 Ligue 1 encounters.
My prediction: Marseille to win and Total Over 2.5
