The Matchday 18 clash in Ligue 1 between Marseille and Strasbourg will take place on January 19 at the Velodrome Stadium. Marseille vs. Strasbourg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Bastien Dechepy (France)
Matches – 7 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 25;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 57%.
Predicted lineups for Marseille vs. Strasbourg
Marseille (3-4-3): Geronimo Rulli – Michael Murillo, Leonardo Balerdi, Derek Cornelius – Luis Henrique, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Valentin Rongier, Quentin Merlin – Adrien Rabiot, Mason Greenwood, Neal Maupay.
Strasbourg (4-4-2): Djordje Petrovic – Diego Moreira, Ismael Doukoure, Mamadou Sarr, Gelas Doué – Sebastian Nanasi, Habib Diarra, Andrey Santos, Dilane Bakwa – Emmanuel Emegha, Felix Lemarechal.
Each team's lineup reflects their starting eleven from their last match in this tournament.
Marseille
Marseille have won both matches since the winter break in the league, thrashing Le Havre 5-1 and edging Rennes 2-1. Their unbeaten run in Ligue 1 has now stretched to six games (5 wins, 1 draw). The team continues to chase PSG in the league table, sitting in 2nd place, seven points adrift. Notably, Marseille is also second in the list of the most prolific teams this season in Ligue 1, with 39 goals, trailing only PSG (46). It's worth mentioning that Marseille has performed significantly better away than at home this season, earning 24 points on the road compared to 12 at home.
- The team has scored at least twice in 5 of their last 6 Ligue 1 matches.
- At least 3 goals have been scored in 8 of Marseille's last 10 matches in this tournament.
- Both teams have scored in 9 of the last 11 home games for the club in the French championship.
Strasbourg
Strasbourg secured their third consecutive victory in Ligue 1 by defeating Toulouse 2-1 in the last round. This feat was last achieved by the club in December 2023, and their last longer winning streak in the league was in January 2019 (4 matches). This successful run has lifted the team from 14th to 9th in the Ligue 1 table, increasing their gap from the relegation zone to 11 points. Additionally, the club now has a positive goal difference in the current championship, with 30 goals scored and 29 conceded.
- At least 3 goals have been scored in 9 of Strasbourg's last 11 Ligue 1 matches.
- Both teams have scored in 17 of the team's last 21 matches in the league.
- Strasbourg has won their last 2 away matches in Ligue 1, but before that, they went 11 away games without a win in this tournament (3 draws, 8 losses).
Marseille vs. Strasbourg: Match Prediction
Both teams are in good form, so we can expect an exciting and high-scoring encounter. In this season's Ligue 1, Marseille and Strasbourg are among the leaders in terms of the average number of goals scored in their matches. Both teams share second place in this ranking with an average of 3.5 goals per game. There's little point in predicting the outcome of this match, as bookmakers have made the hosts overwhelming favorites, but Marseille often drops points at home, while Strasbourg has performed well in their last two away matches. Therefore, the result could be surprising.
However, considering the high scoring potential of both teams, betting on the total goals market seems a more reliable option. At least 3 goals have been scored in 8 of Marseille's last 10 league matches and in 9 of Strasbourg's last 11 games in this tournament. Furthermore, both teams have scored in 7 of Marseille's last 8 games and in 17 of Strasbourg's last 21 matches in Ligue 1. The upcoming opponents have also found the net against each other in 4 of their last 5 head-to-head meetings in this tournament.
Therefore, my prediction is Both Teams to Score – Yes + Total Over 2.5
Lens
PSG
Rennes
Brest
Lyon
Toulouse
AS Saint-Étienne
Nantes
Reims
Le Havre
Angers
Auxerre
