Matchday 7 of Ligue 1 between Metz and Marseille will take place on October 4 at the Stade Saint-Symphorien. Metz vs. Marseille: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Metz
Stefan Le Mignan's side remains the only team yet to win in the current Ligue 1 season. Last weekend, Metz drew 0-0 with Le Havre, earning their second point in the championship. The club kept a clean sheet for the first time in eight matches in Ligue 1 and playoff matches, but other positive aspects are hard to find. The team is at the bottom of the table, three points behind the second-last place. Notably, their defensive actions have been shaky: after six rounds of the championship, Metz has conceded 13 goals – only Lorient has a worse record with 14.
- The club has not scored more than one goal in regular time in 7 of their last 9 Ligue 1 and playoff matches.
- Metz's winless streak without extra time is 8 matches in these tournaments (4 draws, 4 losses).
- At least two goals have been scored in regular time in 16 of Stefan Le Mignan's last 19 games in Ligue 1, Ligue 2, and playoff matches.
Predicted lineup for Metz (3-4-3)*
Jonathan Fisher – Koffi Kouao, Terry Yegbe, Jean-Philippe Gbamin – Boubacar Traore, Jessy Demenge, Morgan Bokelé, Yuri-Michel Mboula – Gauthier Hein, Cheikh Sabaly, Habib Diallo.
The suspension of key defender Sadibou Sane has ended. Another defender, Fodé Ballo-Touré, has recovered from injury, but defender Yuri-Michel Mboula and midfielder Benjamin Stambouli are still in the infirmary.
Marseille
The team made a couple of slip-ups at the start of the Ligue 1 season, but Roberto De Zerbi's side has gained momentum and is chasing the leaders. A week ago, Marseille defeated Strasbourg, securing their third consecutive win in the championship – a streak they haven't achieved in this tournament since February this year. This successful run has lifted Marseille to third place in the table, behind only Lyon and PSG.
- Marseille has scored at least one goal in 9 of their last 11 Ligue 1 matches.
- The team's uncompromising streak in this tournament has reached 8 games (6 wins, 2 losses).
- The club has conceded in 14 of their last 16 league matches.
Predicted lineup for Marseille (4-2-3-1)*
Geronimo Rulli – Amir Murillo, Leonardo Balerdi, Nayef Aguerd, Facundo Medina – Matt O'Riley, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg – Timothy Weah, Igor Paixão, Angel Gomes – Amine Gouiri.
Key defender Facundo Medina is injured. For the same reason, midfielders Geoffrey Kondogbia and Amad Traoré will not be available.
Referee
Clement Turpin (France)
Matches – 20 (Ligue 1, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 62;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 25%.
Metz vs. Marseille: Match Prediction
Since their promotion to Ligue 1, Metz has yet to secure a victory and sits at the bottom of the table. However, it's important to note that they will play at home, where they have shown some resilience. Metz has lost only one of their last three home matches in the league, never conceding more than one goal. Considering Ligue 1, Ligue 2, and playoff matches, the team has suffered just three defeats in their last 23 games, and in rare losses, they have only lost by a narrow margin.
Marseille can dominate opponents at home, but Roberto De Zerbi's side appears more modest away. They have not won in 7 of their last 9 away league matches – moreover, in 7 of those 9 games, the club scored no more than one goal, and 6 of the 9 matches ended in defeat. Notably, Marseille has only won one of their last seven Ligue 1 encounters with Metz. Additionally, the team may be lacking freshness, having expended significant energy in a Champions League match during the week.
I believe the hosts can keep Marseille on edge until the final whistle. Prediction – Metz with a handicap (+1.5)
* The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.
