The Matchday 6 encounter of the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between AC Milan (Italy) and Red Star Belgrade (Serbia) will take place on December 11 at the San Siro Stadium. AC Milan vs. Red Star Belgrade: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
Matches – 11 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 40;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 18%.
Predicted lineups for AC Milan vs. Red Star Belgrade
AC Milan (4-2-3-1): Mike Maignan – Emerson Royal, Malick Thiaw, Strahinja Pavlovic, Theo Hernandez – Tijjani Reijnders, Youssouf Fofana – Yunus Musah, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Rafael Leao – Tammy Abraham.
Red Star Belgrade (4-2-3-1): Omri Glazer – Uros Spajic, Nasser Djiga, Vanja Drkusic, Sol Yeon U – Rade Krunic, Timi Elsnik – Silas, Andrija Maksimovic, Felicio Milson – Aleksandar Katai.
AC Milan
Paulo Fonseca's side secured a 3-2 away victory over Slovan in the last round. As a result, AC Milan achieved their third consecutive win in the Champions League, a feat not seen since the 2022/23 season. However, the club has conceded in nine straight matches in this European competition, a streak not experienced since 2010. In the standings, the team holds nine points and is in 16th place.
Defender Alessandro Florenzi, midfielders Christian Pulisic and Ismael Bennacer, as well as forwards Luka Jovic and Noah Okafor, will miss the match due to injuries.
- The club has not won in regular time in 4 of their last 6 home matches in the Champions League (1 draw, 3 losses).
- At least three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 8 of the team's last 9 encounters in this European competition.
- The number "1" appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in 7 of AC Milan's last 8 Champions League matches.
Red Star Belgrade
In the previous round, Vladan Milojevic's side unexpectedly thrashed Stuttgart 5-1 at home. As a result, Red Star Belgrade ended their four-match losing streak in the Champions League and earned their first points in the group stage. Notably, at least six goals have been scored in each of the last three matches involving the Serbian team in the Champions League. The club, with three points, is in 31st place in the standings. Having conceded 17 goals in the group stage, Red Star Belgrade is only ahead of Slovan (18) in this regard.
Defender Aden Avdic and forward Peter Olayinka will miss the match due to injuries.
- The club has lost in regular time in their last seven away matches in the Champions League.
- At least four goals have been scored in 90 minutes in the team's last four encounters in the Champions League.
- The Serbians have not scored more than one goal in regular time in their last six away matches in this European competition.
AC Milan vs. Red Star Belgrade: Match Prediction
In home matches, AC Milan plays actively and spends a lot of time on the opponent's half of the field. As a result, the team regularly finds the net: in 11 of their last 14 home games in the Champions League, Milan players have scored. However, defensively, the club is not always reliable: in their last six home matches, Milan has kept a clean sheet only once.
Red Star Belgrade rarely achieves positive results in away matches in the Champions League, but the team performs well in attack. In 6 of their last 8 away matches in this European competition, the Serbians have scored, managing to breach the defenses of teams like Manchester City, Leipzig, and Monaco. At the same time, Red Star Belgrade makes many mistakes at their own end: in their last seven away matches in the Champions League, the Serbians have conceded at least twice.
I believe it is reasonable to expect both teams to score in this matchup, so my prediction: Both teams to score – yes
