Matchday 16 of Serie A between Milan and Genoa will take place on December 15 at the San Siro Stadium. Milan vs. Empoli: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Marco Guida (Italy)
Matches – 6 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 26;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 17%.
Predicted lineups for Milan vs. Genoa
Milan (4-5-1): Mike Maignan – Theo Hernandez, Malick Thiaw, Matteo Gabbia, Emerson Royal – Tijjani Reijnders, Youssouf Fofana, Yunus Musah, Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao – Alvaro Morata.
Genoa (5-3-2): Nicola Leali – Aaron Martin Caricol, Alan Matturro, Stefano Sabelli, Mattia Bani, Alessandro Zanoli – Morten Thorsby, Morten Frendrup, Fabio Miretti – Milan Badelj, Andrea Pinamonti.
Each team's starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is listed.
Milan
Milan's four-match unbeaten run in the league was halted in the last round as they fell 1-2 to Atalanta. The team remains in 7th place in the Serie A standings, but the gap to the European competition spots has widened to five points. Last season, Milan was in 3rd place at this stage with seven more points than they have now. However, they have been successful at home this season, remaining unbeaten in six of seven matches (4 wins, 2 draws). Additionally, Milan has conceded the fewest goals at home in Serie A this season, with just four goals allowed.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 9 of Milan's last 10 Serie A matches.
- At least one opponent failed to score in Milan's last six home matches in this tournament.
- The club has not lost in 19 of their last 21 home Serie A games (13 wins, 6 draws).
Genoa
Genoa, on the other hand, extended their unbeaten run in Serie A to five matches (2 wins, 3 draws) with a goalless draw against Torino in the last round. This is the team's longest unbeaten streak since returning to the top Italian league. Notably, Genoa has kept a clean sheet in their last two Serie A matches. It's important to mention that all three of their wins this season have come away from home. In the Serie A standings, Genoa is in 14th place, just three points clear of the relegation zone.
- Fewer than three goals have been scored in 5 of Genoa's last 6 Serie A matches.
- The club has won with a handicap (+1.5) in 17 of their last 20 away league games.
- One team failed to score in 6 of Genoa's last 7 away matches in Serie A.
Milan vs. Genoa: Match Prediction
After a defeat to Atalanta in the league, Milan managed to secure a hard-fought victory in the Champions League against Crvena Zvezda with a score of 2-1. Meanwhile, Genoa had ample time to prepare for the upcoming match. I don't expect the hosts to achieve an easy victory in this encounter. Genoa has not lost in five Serie A matches, and Milan has only managed to secure a convincing win with a margin of more than one goal in one of their last eight league matches.
Therefore, I disagree with the bookmakers who anticipate a rout of the visitors in the upcoming match. Genoa is resilient and usually puts up a fight against opponents, even away from home. The club has won with a 1.5-goal handicap in 17 of their last 20 away Serie A matches.
I believe that the unbeaten visitors since November have every chance, at the very least, not to lose heavily. My prediction: Genoa with a handicap (+1.5)
