The Matchday 7 clash in the 2024/25 Champions League between Milan (Italy) and Girona (Spain) will take place on January 22 at the San Siro Stadium. Milan vs. Girona: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Tobias Stieler (Germany)
Matches – 8 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 33;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 25%.
Predicted lineups for Milan vs. Girona
Milan (4-2-3-1): Mike Maignan – Theo Hernandez, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Emerson Royal – Tijjani Reijnders, Youssouf Fofana – Yunus Musah, Ismael Bennacer, Rafael Leao – Alvaro Morata.
Girona (4-5-1): Paulo Gazzaniga – Daley Blind, Ladislav Krejci, David Lopez, Arnau Martinez – Oriol Romeu, Donny van de Beek, Ivan Martin, Bryan Gil, Viktor Tsygankov – Cristhian Stuani.
Milan
In the last round, Milan defeated Crvena Zvezda 2-1 at home, extending their winning streak in the Champions League to four matches. However, Milan has not kept a clean sheet in their last ten matches in this European competition. The Italians have 12 points and are in 12th place in the standings. A win in the upcoming match will secure them a place in the playoffs.
Defenders Malick Thiaw and Alessandro Florenzi, midfielders Christian Pulisic and Ruben Loftus-Cheek, and forward Samuel Chukwueze are out due to injuries. Defender Fikayo Tomori will miss the match due to suspension. Additionally, in late December, Sergio Conceicao became Milan's new head coach.
- The team has not lost in regular time in 7 of their last 10 home matches in the Champions League (6 wins, 1 draw).
- Both opponents scored in 90 minutes in five of the team's previous home matches in this European competition.
- The number "1" appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in 7 of Milan's last 9 home matches in the Champions League.
Girona
Michel Sanchez's side lost 0-1 at home to Liverpool in the last round. This defeat marked Girona's fifth loss in the current Champions League campaign. Moreover, the club has lost their last three matches without scoring. Nonetheless, the Spaniards, currently in 30th place with three points, still have a chance to reach the playoffs. To achieve this, the club must win the two remaining group stage matches and hope for slip-ups from their competitors.
Forwards Bojan Miovski and Arnaut Danjuma will not play due to injuries.
- The team has lost in regular time in their last three away matches in the Champions League.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 90 minutes in 5 of the club's last 6 Champions League matches.
- No more than two goals were scored in regular time in 3 of the Spaniards' last 4 matches in this European competition.
Milan vs. Girona: Match Prediction
Recently, Milan has struggled to fully showcase their attacking prowess, even in home games. In their last nine home matches in the Champions League, Milan's players have only surpassed the one-goal mark three times. The same trend is observed in Serie A: in 6 of their last 7 home matches, the club did not score more than once. However, defensively, the team is solid: in 7 of their last 10 home Champions League matches, Milan conceded a maximum of one goal.
Girona has not performed well in the top European competition, particularly struggling in attack: in 4 of their 6 matches in the current Champions League, the club failed to score. Additionally, Michel Sanchez's side is one of only two teams that have not scored away in the group stage. Meanwhile, Girona often defended well, conceding more than one goal in just two matches in the current Champions League.
I don't expect this to be a high-scoring match, so my prediction: Total under 3