The first leg of the Coppa Italia semi-final between Milan and Inter will take place on April 2 at the San Siro stadium. Milan vs. Inter: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Milan
The team confidently advanced to the semi-finals by defeating Sassuolo (6-1) and then leaving no chance for Roma (3-1). As a result, Milan has won 3 of their last 4 Coppa Italia matches, scoring 14 goals in this period. However, the club has not kept a clean sheet in any of these four previous tournament matches. Notably, Milan has not won the national cup trophy since 2003.
- The club has not lost in regular time in 7 of their last 9 Coppa Italia matches (4 wins, 3 draws).
- Both teams scored in the last four encounters in this tournament.
- At least three goals were scored in regular time in 6 of Milan's last 8 Coppa Italia matches.
Predicted lineup for Milan (4-3-3)
Mike Maignan – Theo Hernandez, Fikayo Tomori, Strahinja Pavlovic, Kyle Walker – Tijjani Reijnders, Youssouf Fofana, Yunus Musah – Christian Pulisic, Tammy Abraham, Alejandro Jimenez.
Defender Emerson Royal and midfielder Ruben Loftus-Cheek will miss the game due to injuries.
Inter
Simone Inzaghi's side had no serious problems in the round of 16 against Udinese at home (2-0), and then defeated Lazio with the same score in the quarter-finals. As a result, Inter extended their unbeaten run in regular time in the Coppa Italia to 14 matches (7 wins, 7 draws). Notably, this is the team's fifth appearance in the semi-finals of this tournament in the last six seasons.
- The team has won in regular time in 5 of their last 7 Coppa Italia matches.
- The club scored exactly one or two goals in 8 of their last 9 matches in this tournament.
- Inter has kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 7 Coppa Italia matches.
Predicted lineup for Inter (3-5-2)
Josep Martinez – Benjamin Pavard, Yann-Aurel Bisseck, Stefan de Vrij – Federico Dimarco, Davide Frattesi, Kristjan Asllani, Piotr Zielinski, Matteo Darmian – Marko Arnautovic, Mehdi Taremi.
Defender Denzel Dumfries, midfielder Piotr Zielinski, and forwards Mehdi Taremi and Lautaro Martinez will miss the game due to injuries. Midfielder Kristjan Asllani is suspended.
Referee
Mikael Fabbri (Italy)
Matches – 15 (Serie A and Coppa Italia, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 67;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 13%.
Milan vs. Inter: Match Prediction
In the last two Coppa Italia editions, Milan has shown strong attacking performances. In the current tournament, the team has already scored nine goals in just two matches. While one of the opponents was Serie B's Sassuolo, they also managed to breach Roma's defense three times. Furthermore, Milan was also prolific in the previous national cup, scoring five times in two matches.
Inter cannot boast such high numbers and rarely scores more than two goals, but they consistently find the back of the net in this tournament. In the last ten Coppa Italia matches, the team only failed to score once in regular time. Additionally, in the last three head-to-head meetings in this tournament, Inter has scored five goals against Milan.
I anticipate an active game from both teams with goals on both sides. My prediction: Both teams to score – yes
