The Serie A Matchday 26 clash between Milan and Parma will take place on 22 February at San Siro. Milan vs Parma: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Milan
Massimiliano Allegri's men were held to a home draw by Como (1:1) in their last match. The team dropped points, but their unbeaten league run has now reached 24 matches (15 wins, 9 draws). It is worth noting, however, that the hosts have failed to keep a clean sheet in five of their last seven games in this competition. Even so, the club remain among the top three sides in the league for defensive reliability. In the overall standings, Milan are second, but the gap to leaders Inter has grown to seven points.
- Both teams scored in five of the team's last seven Serie A matches.
- On home soil in this competition, the hosts are unbeaten in 10 matches (7 wins, 3 draws).
- The club scored first in five of their last seven home league games.
Potential Milan Lineup (3-5-2)*
Mike Maignan – Koni De Winter, Fikayo Tomori, Strahinja Pavlovic – Davide Bartesaghi, Luka Modric, Samuele Ricci, Zakary Athekame, Ardon Jashari – Christopher Nkunku, Rafael Leao.
Forward Santiago Gimenez will miss the match through injury. Head coach Massimiliano Allegri is suspended.
Parma
After a four-match winless run in the league (2 draws, 2 defeats), the team have recorded two victories, beating Bologna (1:0) and Parma (2:1). It is worth noting that, for the first time this season, Carlos Cuesta's men have won back-to-back matches. Parma have also scored in three consecutive games, which is the club's second-longest scoring streak in the competition. Even so, that has not been enough to shake off their status as one of the lowest-scoring teams in the league. In the standings, the club sit 12th.
- Parma have conceded more than one goal in just two of their last seven league matches.
- Away from home, the visitors avoided defeat in six of their last seven Serie A matches (4 wins, 2 draws).
- The club have scored in six of their last eight away games in this competition.
Potential Parma Lineup (3-5-2)*
Edoardo Corvi – Alessandro Circati, Lautaro Valenti, Enrico Del Prato – Emanuele Valeri, Oliver Sorensen, Mandela Keita, Adrian Bernabe, Sacha Brcicgi – Mateo Pellegrino, Gabriele Strefezza.
Defender Abdoulaye N'Diaye, forwards Pontus Almqvist and Matija Frigan, as well as midfielder Nahuel Estevez and goalkeeper Zion Suzuki are injured. Defender Alessandro Circati is suspended.
Referee
Marco Piccinini (Italy)
Matches – 5 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second bookings) – 17;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 28;
Penalties – 40%.
Milan vs Parma: Match Prediction
Massimiliano Allegri's side have been consistent throughout the season. The home team typically drop points against strong opponents. Against teams inferior in class, there are usually no problems, but we have not seen many truly emphatic Milan wins in the current campaign either. At home, the club have only thrashed Verona, who are stuck at the bottom of the table; in the other cases, the hosts have tended to win by the narrowest of margins.
Parma are in decent form: in their last seven Serie A matches, the away team have only lost to Juventus and Atalanta (3 wins, 2 draws). Moreover, the defeat by the Bergamo club is their only loss in the last seven away league games. Yes, in that match Carlos Cuesta's men collapsed defensively, but the club have had very few such poor episodes this season.
Parma rarely take points off Milan, but these meetings are not usually a walk in the park for their formidable opponents. The visitors have failed to beat the hosts in eight of the last nine Serie A head-to-heads (3 draws, 5 defeats), but on three occasions they lost by exactly one goal.
Prediction: Parma (+1.5)
* For each team, the starting XI listed is from their last match in this competition.
