The Italian Cup quarter-final match between AC Milan and Roma will take place on February 5 at the San Siro Stadium. AC Milan vs. Roma: prediction, betting odds, statistics.
AC Milan
In the round of 16, the team faced Sassuolo and secured a confident 6-1 victory. This win marked Milan's largest in the Italian Cup since 2016. Additionally, the club scored at least four goals for the second time in their last three matches in this tournament. It's worth noting that Milan has not won the national cup since 2003 and reached the quarter-finals last season.
Defenders Malick Thiaw, Emerson Royal, and Alessandro Florenzi, as well as midfielder Ruben Loftus-Cheek, will miss the game due to injuries. Notably, several players have joined the club ahead of this match: midfielder Warren Bondo, and forwards Santiago Gimenez, Joao Felix, and Riccardo Sottil. Meanwhile, defender Davide Calabria, midfielder Ismael Bennacer, and forwards Alvaro Morata and Noah Okafor have left the team.
- The club has not lost in regular time in 10 of their last 11 home matches in the Italian Cup (4 wins, 6 draws).
- The team has not scored more than one goal in 90 minutes in 6 of their last 9 home games in the national cup.
- Milan has conceded a maximum of one goal in regular time in 8 of their last 9 home matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for AC Milan (4-3-3)
Mike Maignan – Theo Hernandez, Fikayo Tomori, Strahinja Pavlovic, Kyle Walker – Tijjani Reijnders, Ismael Bennacer, Yunus Musah – Christian Pulisic, Tammy Abraham, Rafael Leao.
Roma
In the previous round, Claudio Ranieri's side defeated Sampdoria 4-1. As a result, Roma secured their first major victory in the national cup since 2019. It's worth noting that since the 2017/18 season, the Romans have not advanced beyond one stage in this tournament. Last season's Italian Cup ended for the club in the quarter-finals with a defeat to Lazio (0-1).
Notably, the club has added defenders Anass Salah-Eddine and Victor Nelsson, as well as midfielder Lucas Gourna-Douath, ahead of this encounter.
- The team has lost in regular time in 6 of their last 7 away matches in the national cup.
- The club has conceded at least two goals in 90 minutes in 6 of their last 8 away matches in the Italian Cup.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in regular time in 5 of Roma's last 7 away matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Roma (4-3-3)
Mile Svilar – Angelino, Gianluca Mancini, Evan N'Dicka, Devyne Rensch – Bryan Cristante, Niccolo Pisilli, Manu Kone – Stephan El Shaarawy, Eldor Shomurodov, Matias Soule.
Referee
Marco Piccinini (Italy)
Matches – 8 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 31;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 38%.
AC Milan vs. Roma: Match Prediction
In recent years, Milan has often capitalized on home advantage in cup matches, achieving positive results. In their last 22 home matches in the national cup, the team has lost in regular time only twice, securing ten victories during this period. Furthermore, Milan has not allowed opponents to score in 11 of these encounters and conceded more than one goal only twice.
Roma, on the other hand, rarely manages to secure positive results in away matches, and the club has frequently exited the Italian Cup following away games. In their last seven away matches in this tournament, Roma has suffered six defeats in regular time, often losing by at least a two-goal margin in five of these instances.
I expect a confident performance from Sergio Conceicao's side, so my prediction: AC Milan with a handicap (0)
* The lineup for each team is based on their previous match.
