The quarter-final match of the Coppa Italia between Milan and Roma will take place on February 5 at the San Siro Stadium. Milan vs. Roma: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Milan
In the round of 16, the team faced Sassuolo and secured a convincing 6-1 victory. This win marked Milan's largest in the Coppa Italia since 2016. Moreover, the club has scored at least four goals in two of their last three matches in this tournament. Notably, the Milanese have not won the national cup since 2003, and last season they were eliminated at the quarter-final stage.
Defenders Malick Thiaw, Emerson Royal, and Alessandro Florenzi, along with midfielder Ruben Loftus-Cheek, will miss the game due to injuries. Notably, the club's lineup has been bolstered by several players ahead of this match: midfielder Warren Bondo, and forwards Joao Felix and Riccardo Sottil.
- The club has not lost in regular time in 10 of their last 11 home matches in the Coppa Italia (4 wins, 6 draws).
- The team has not scored more than one goal in 90 minutes in 6 of their last 9 home encounters in the national cup.
- The Milanese have conceded a maximum of one goal in regular time in 8 of their last 9 home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Milan (4-3-3)
Mike Maignan – Theo Hernandez, Fikayo Tomori, Strahinja Pavlovic, Kyle Walker – Tijjani Reijnders, Ismael Bennacer, Yunus Musah – Christian Pulisic, Tammy Abraham, Rafael Leao.
Roma
In the previous round, Claudio Ranieri's side triumphed over Sampdoria (4-1). As a result, Roma secured their first significant victory in the national cup since 2019. Notably, since the 2017/18 season, the Romans have not progressed beyond one stage in this tournament. Last season, the Coppa Italia run ended for the club in the quarter-finals with a defeat to Lazio (0-1).
Notably, ahead of this encounter, the club has strengthened its lineup with defenders Anass Salah-Eddine and Victor Nelsson, as well as midfielder Lucas Gourna-Douath.
- The team has lost in regular time in 6 of their last 7 away matches in the national cup.
- The club has conceded at least two goals in 90 minutes in 6 of their last 8 away games in the Coppa Italia.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in regular time in 5 of the Romans' last 7 away matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Roma (4-3-3)
Mile Svilar – Angelino, Gianluca Mancini, Evan Ndicka, Devyne Rensch – Bryan Cristante, Niccolo Pisilli, Manu Kone – Stephan El Shaarawy, Eldor Shomurodov, Matias Soule.
Referee
Marco Piccinini (Italy)
Matches – 8 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 31;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 38%.
Match Prediction: Milan vs. Roma
In recent years, Milan has often capitalized on their home advantage in cup matches, achieving positive results. In their last 22 home matches in the national cup, the team has lost in regular time only twice, securing ten victories during this period. Additionally, in 11 of these encounters, Milan did not allow their opponents to score, and they conceded more than one goal only twice.
For Roma, securing a positive result in away matches has been rare, and recently, the club has frequently been eliminated from the Coppa Italia following away games. In their last seven away matches in this tournament, Roma suffered six defeats in regular time, often losing without much chance of success – in five instances during this period, the Romans were defeated by at least a two-goal margin.
I expect a confident performance from Sergio Conceicao's side, so my prediction: Milan with a handicap (0)
* Each team's starting lineup is based on their previous match.
Juventus
Empoli
Inter Milan
Lazio
