The Round of 16 match in the Coppa Italia between AC Milan and Sassuolo will take place on December 3 at the San Siro Stadium. Milan vs. Sassuolo: prediction, betting odds, and statistics.
Referee: Kevin Bonacina (Italy)
Matches – 9 (Serie B and Coppa Italia, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 45;
Average yellow cards per match – 5;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 29;
Penalties – 33%.
Predicted lineups for Milan vs. Sassuolo
Milan (4-3-3): Mike Maignan – Theo Hernandez, Malick Thiaw, Matteo Gabbia, Emerson Royal – Tijjani Reijnders, Christian Pulisic, Youssouf Fofana – Yunus Musah, Alvaro Morata, Rafael Leao.
Sassuolo (4-2-3-1): Horatiu Moldovan – Jeremy Toljan, Tarik Muharemovic, Filippo Romagna, Edoardo Pieragnolo – Pedro Obiang, Daniel Boloca – Domenico Berardi, Kristian Thorstvedt, Armand Lauriente – Nicolas Pierini.
The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match.
Milan
Paulo Fonseca's side is starting their Coppa Italia campaign at this stage due to their successful Serie A season last year. Milan has not won the national cup since 2003 and has only reached the final twice during that time. In the last Coppa Italia, Milan was stopped in the quarter-finals, losing to Atalanta (1-2).
Defender Alessandro Florenzi, midfielder Ismael Bennacer, and forward Luka Jovic will miss the game due to injuries.
- The club has not lost in regular time in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the Coppa Italia (3 wins, 6 draws).
- The team has not conceded more than one goal in 90 minutes in 7 of their last 8 home games in this tournament.
- Milan has scored a maximum of one goal in regular time in 6 of their last 8 home matches in the national cup.
Sassuolo
Fabio Grosso's side has reached this stage by overcoming Cittadella (2-1) and Lecce (2-0). Sassuolo's best achievement in the Coppa Italia is reaching the quarter-finals in the 2021/22 season, where they lost to Juventus 1-2. In the last edition of this tournament, the club was stopped by Atalanta in the Round of 16 (1-3).
Defender Matteo Lovato will not play due to injury.
- The team has not won in regular time in 13 of their last 14 away matches in the national cup (3 draws, 10 losses).
- Both opponents scored in 6 of Sassuolo's last 8 away matches in this tournament.
- At least three goals have been scored in regular time in 6 of Sassuolo's last 8 away matches in the Coppa Italia.
Milan vs. Sassuolo: Match Prediction
Despite the difference in class, the hosts may face certain challenges in this encounter, as Milan has not been consistently strong this season. In recent years, the club has not shown confident performances even at home in cup matches: in 7 of their last 9 home matches in the national cup, Milan has not won in regular time (6 draws, 1 loss).
Sassuolo is having a good season in Serie B, leading after 15 rounds with a three-point gap from second place. In the Coppa Italia, the team is also ready to prove themselves and fight to the end, as they have done in the past: in 11 of their last 15 away matches in this tournament, the club has not lost by more than one goal in regular time.
I believe the visitors can provide a decent challenge to Milan. I expect Fabio Grosso's side not to lose by more than one goal in regular time. My prediction: Sassuolo with a handicap (+1.5)
