The central match of Ligue 1's 29th round between Monaco and Marseille will take place on April 12 at the Louis II Stadium in Fontvieille. Monaco vs. Marseille: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Monaco
In the last round, the club from the principality saw its four-match unbeaten streak come to an end (3 wins, 1 draw) as they lost 1-2 to Brest. As a result of this setback, Monaco lost their second place in the Ligue 1 standings, dropping to third. They were overtaken by their upcoming opponent. Nevertheless, Monaco scored again, extending their scoring streak in the league to 13 matches. In terms of total goals this Ligue 1 season, the team is behind only PSG (80) and Marseille (57), having scored 54 times. Notably, the club has been strong at home this season, winning 10 of 14 matches (2 draws, 2 losses).
- Both teams scored in 11 of Monaco's last 13 Ligue 1 matches.
- At least 3 goals were scored in 10 of the club's last 11 matches in this tournament.
- The team has won 7 of their last 8 home league matches (1 loss).
Predicted lineup for Monaco (4-4-2)
Philipp Köhn – Caio Henrique, Christian Mavissa Elebi, Thilo Kehrer, Wilfried Singo – Takumi Minamino, Lamine Camara, Denis Zakaria, Maghnes Akliouche – Breel Embolo, Mika Biereth.
Defender Christian Mavissa Elebi will miss the game due to yellow card accumulation.
Marseille
Marseille ended a three-match losing streak in the top French division by defeating Toulouse 3-2 in their previous game. However, it's worth noting the club's continued defensive vulnerabilities, conceding at least 2 goals in three consecutive league matches. Nevertheless, Marseille managed to overtake their upcoming opponent in the Ligue 1 standings thanks to their last-round victory, moving up to second place. While Monaco's strong home performances this season have been highlighted, Marseille's away form should also be noted. Under Roberto De Zerbi, they rank second among the league's best away teams, winning 9 times (5 losses).
- Marseille's uncompromising streak in the league stands at 10 matches (5 wins, 5 losses).
- The club has conceded exactly 3 goals in each of their last 3 away Ligue 1 matches.
- At least 3 goals were scored in 7 of Marseille's last 10 away matches in the top division of France.
Predicted lineup for Marseille (3-4-3)
Geronimo Rulli – Geoffrey Kondogbia, Derek Cornelius, Amir Murillo – Quentin Merlin, Valentin Rongier, Ismael Bennacer, Luis Henrique – Adrien Rabiot, Mason Greenwood, Neal Maupay.
Referee
Benoit Bastien (France)
Matches – 14 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 62;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 50%.
Monaco vs. Marseille: Match Prediction
The upcoming match could be pivotal in the battle for second place in the Ligue 1 standings at the end of the season. The teams are in second and third place, separated by just 2 points. I agree with bookmakers who favor the hosts as the favorites for the upcoming meeting. Monaco has been more consistent this season, and the loss to Brest in the last round was not deserved; the club from the principality should have taken points from Brittany.
Moreover, Monaco has been excellent at home this season, earning 32 of their 50 points in the league standings at home. The team has won their last 5 home league matches, scoring at least twice in each. This could be problematic for Marseille, who have defensive issues. They have conceded at least 2 goals in their last 3 league matches and have lost their last 3 away Ligue 1 games, conceding 3 goals each time.
Furthermore, Monaco has scored at least 2 goals against Marseille in 8 of their last 9 home league encounters. They have also scored at least twice in their last 8 home Ligue 1 matches. Therefore, my prediction is: Monaco Individual Total Over 1.5
