Matchday 13 in Ligue 1 between Montpellier and Lille will take place on December 1 at Stade de la Mosson. Montpellier vs. Lille: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Benoit Millot (France)
Matches – 5 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 40%.
Predicted lineups for Montpellier vs. Lille
Montpellier (4-5-1): Benjamin Lecomte – Enzo Chato Mbiay, Nikola Maksimovic, Modibo Sagnan, Issiaga Sylla – Rabbi Njingula, Joris Chotard, Mousa Al-Tamari, Arnaud Nordin, Téji Savanier – Wahbi Khazri.
Lille (4-5-1): Lucas Chevalier – Gabriel Gudmundsson, Bafodé Diakité, Alexsandro Ribeiro, Aïssa Mandi – Benjamin André, Ayoub Bouaddi, Mitchel Bakker, Rémy Cabella, Edon Zhegrova – Jonathan David.
Each team's lineup is based on their last match in this tournament.
Montpellier
The team suffered their ninth defeat in the current championship (2 wins, 1 draw), losing 0-1 to Saint-Étienne in the last round. Additionally, Montpellier has conceded in their last 18 Ligue 1 matches, making them the worst defensive side this season with 32 goals conceded. Their attack hasn't fared much better, scoring just 11 times in the current championship, with only Le Havre scoring fewer (10). Unsurprisingly, the team sits at the bottom of the elite French division's table, trailing the safe 15th spot by 4 points.
- Montpellier's uncompromising streak in Ligue 1 stands at 11 matches (2 wins, 9 losses).
- The club has not scored more than once in 9 of their last 12 league matches.
- At least 3 goals have been scored in the team's last 5 home matches in this tournament.
Lille
After two draws in the French championship, the club secured a victory by defeating Rennes 1-0 in the previous match. This result extended Lille's unbeaten run in Ligue 1 to 8 matches (4 wins, 4 draws). Thanks to this successful stretch, the team has climbed into the Champions League zone in the league standings, moving to 4th place. However, they are already 10 points behind the leader. Notably, Lille has conceded the fewest goals away from home in the current Ligue 1 season, with just 3 goals against.
- No more than 3 goals have been scored in 6 of the club's last 7 matches in the elite French division.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of Lille's last 6 away matches in Ligue 1.
- The team scored at least twice in 6 of their last 8 away league matches.
Montpellier vs. Lille: Match Prediction
A coaching change hasn't helped the hosts out of their crisis. Montpellier lost again in the last round, this time to one of their main rivals in the fight for survival, Saint-Étienne. Meanwhile, Lille is gaining momentum as the championship progresses, boasting the second-longest active unbeaten streak in Ligue 1 after PSG, with 8 matches without a loss. However, the hosts might benefit from the fact that the visitors have an additional European away match this week. Lille is not as strong away from home as they are on their own turf.
Therefore, I expect the motivated hosts, who have nowhere to retreat, to challenge the favorites. Montpellier has also given their upcoming opponents a tough time in recent home league encounters, not losing by more than 1 goal in 5 of their last 6 matches.
I believe that this time, the slightly fatigued Lille is unlikely to win by a large margin. My prediction: Montpellier with a handicap (+1.5)
Rennes
AS Saint-Étienne
Brest
Strasbourg
PSG
Nantes
Le Havre
Angers
Lyon
Nice
Toulouse
Auxerre
Marseille
Monaco
