The 10th round Ligue 1 match between Nantes and Marseille will take place on November 3 at the Beaujoire Stadium. Nantes vs Marseille: prediction and betting, odds, statistics.
Referee: Bastien Dechepy (France)
Matches – 19 (Ligue 1, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow/red cards shown – 69;
Average yellow/red cards per match – 3.6;
Straight red cards shown – 3;
Fouls on average per match – 24;
Penalty kick frequency – 42%.
Probable lineups for the match Nantes – Marseille
Nantes (4-5-1): Alban Lafont – Marcus Coco, Jean-Charles Castelletto, Nathan Zeze, Nicolas Pallois – Douglas Augusto, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Sorba Thomas, Tino Kadewere, Mattis Abline – Mostafa Mohamed.
Marseille (4-5-1): Geronimo Rulli – Lilian Brassier, Leonardo Balerdi, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Amir Murillo – Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Adrien Rabiot, Luis Henrique, Mason Greenwood, Amin Harit – Eli Wahi.
The starting lineup for each team is listed from their last match in this tournament.
Nantes
The team extended their winless streak in Ligue 1 to 6 matches (3 draws, 3 losses), succumbing to Strasbourg with a score of 1:3 in the previous round. Nantes has been unable to keep a clean sheet for 7 games in this tournament. As a result of this poor stretch, the club has dropped to 12th place in the French championship standings, with the gap to the relegation playoff zone narrowed to 3 points. After the loss in the last round, Antoine Kombouare's charges have a negative goal difference – 11:12.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Nantes' last 7 Ligue 1 encounters.
- At home, the team has not won in 12 of the previous 13 French championship matches (2 draws, 10 losses).
- The club has scored against opponents in the last 5 home matches in this tournament.
Marseille
Marseille suffered a heavy defeat in their previous Ligue 1 match against PSG with a score of 0:3, enduring their second loss of the current season (5 wins, 2 draws). It's worth noting that this defeat was the team's most substantial loss in the French championship since September 2023. Despite the setback in the last round, the club maintained its 3rd place in the Ligue 1 standings, although the gap from the leader has increased to 6 points. Importantly, Marseille is the best away team in the current championship, having accumulated 12 points on the road, with 4 victories (1 loss).
- At least 3 goals were scored in 12 of Marseille's last 16 encounters in the top French division.
- The club has scored at least twice in 11 of the last 15 matches in this tournament.
- Marseille's uncompromising away streak in Ligue 1 amounts to 7 matches (5 wins, 2 losses).
Nantes vs Marseille: match prediction
Both teams conceded 3 goals in their last round, with Marseille's defeat considered painful as they once again lost to their arch-rivals, allowing Parisians to pull away in the league table. Nantes, however, is also in a prolonged crisis, failing to sustain their successful start to the championship and not winning for 6 consecutive encounters. I don't think the club will be able to break this streak in the upcoming match.
Firstly, the visitors will be furious after losing to their principal rival. Secondly, Marseille has been performing splendidly on the road lately, winning 5 of their last 6 away matches, scoring at least 2 goals in each of those 5 games. And Marseille has won 6 of the last 8 head-to-head encounters with Nantes in Ligue 1 (2 draws).
I believe the visitors will channel their frustration onto their crisis-hit opponents and take away 3 points from Nantes. My prediction is a "Marseille Victory" with odds of 2.03.
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