The Matchday 28 clash in Serie A between Napoli and Fiorentina will take place on March 9 at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. Napoli vs. Fiorentina: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Napoli
Antonio Conte's side drew 1-1 with Inter at home in the last round. As a result, Napoli failed to win for the fifth consecutive Serie A match (4 draws, 1 loss). Furthermore, the club has not kept a clean sheet in any of their last seven league matches. The Neapolitans remain in second place in the standings with 57 points, trailing leaders Inter by just one point. Notably, Napoli has conceded the fewest goals at home this Serie A season (9).
- The team has not lost in 12 of their last 14 home matches in Serie A (9 wins, 3 draws).
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 6 of the club's last 9 home league matches.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of Napoli's last 9 home Serie A games.
Predicted lineup for Napoli (3-5-2)
Alex Meret – Amir Rrahmani, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Buongiorno – Matteo Politano, Stanislav Lobotka, Billy Gilmour, Scott McTominay, Leonardo Spinazzola – Giacomo Raspadori, Romelu Lukaku.
Defender Pasquale Mazzocchi, midfielder Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, and forward David Neres will miss the game due to injuries.
Fiorentina
Raffaele Palladino's side defeated Lecce 1-0 at home in the last round. As a result, Fiorentina ended their three-match losing streak in the league. Additionally, the team kept a clean sheet for only the second time in their last 13 Serie A matches. In the standings, the club is in seventh place with 45 points, seven points behind the top four.
- The club has not won in 5 of their last 6 away Serie A matches (1 draw, 4 losses).
- The team conceded exactly one or two goals in their last six away league matches.
- Both opponents scored in 4 of Fiorentina's last 5 away Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Fiorentina (3-5-2)
David de Gea – Pablo Mari, Luca Ranieri, Marin Pongracic – Dodo, Rolando Mandragora, Danilo Cataldi, Robin Gosens, Cher Ndour – Nicolo Zaniolo, Lucas Beltran.
Midfielders Andrea Colpani, Michael Folorunsho, and Edoardo Bove will miss the game due to injuries. Midfielders Rolando Mandragora and Nicolo Zaniolo are suspended.
Referee
Andrea Colombo (Italy)
Matches – 10 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 40;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 10%.
Napoli vs. Fiorentina: Match Prediction
At home, Antonio Conte's side performs confidently and often achieves maximum results. Thanks largely to their home successes, the team is a contender for the Serie A title this season: Napoli has won 9 of their 13 home matches in the current championship. Additionally, in their first-round meeting, the Neapolitans thrashed Fiorentina 3-0 on their field.
Raffaele Palladino's side cannot boast consistently good performances in away matches recently: in their last six away Serie A games, the club lost four times and drew once. Moreover, Fiorentina has lost to lower-half opponents Como and Verona in their last three league encounters.
I believe the Neapolitans will capitalize on home support and break down the resistance of the inconsistently performing Fiorentina. My prediction: Napoli Win
* The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.
