The Matchday 27 clash in Serie A between Napoli and Inter will take place on March 1 at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. Napoli vs. Inter: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Napoli
Antonio Conte's side suffered a 1-2 defeat away to Como in the last round. As a result, Napoli's 10-match unbeaten run in the league (7 wins, 3 draws) came to an end. Additionally, the team has failed to keep a clean sheet in six consecutive Serie A matches. In the standings, the Neapolitans lost their lead and dropped to second place with 57 points. Notably, the team's defense has been reliable: no club has conceded fewer goals than Napoli in the current championship (21).
- The team has not lost in 11 of their last 13 home matches in Serie A (9 wins, 2 draws).
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 6 of Napoli's last 8 home league matches.
- No more than two goals were scored in 6 of Napoli's last 8 home games in Serie A.
Predicted lineup for Napoli (3-5-2)
Alex Meret – Amir Rrahmani, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Buongiorno – Matteo Politano, Stanislav Lobotka, Philip Billing, Scott McTominay, Leonardo Spinazzola – Giacomo Raspadori, Romelu Lukaku.
Defender Pasquale Mazzocchi, midfielder Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, and forward David Neres will miss the game due to injuries.
Inter
In the last round, Simone Inzaghi's team overcame Genoa at home (1-0). Over the last five Serie A matches, this is only Inter's second victory, with one draw and two losses. Moreover, it was the first time in this stretch that the team managed to keep a clean sheet. Thanks to the victory, the Milanese climbed to the top of the standings, overtaking Napoli by one point. It's worth highlighting Inter's strong attacking play: along with Atalanta, they are among the two most prolific clubs in the current championship (59 goals scored).
- The club has not lost in 13 of their last 15 away matches in Serie A (9 wins, 4 draws).
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 9 of Inter's last 10 away league matches.
- Inter has not scored more than one goal in 4 of their last 5 away matches in Serie A.
Predicted lineup for Inter (3-5-2)
Josep Martinez – Benjamin Pavard, Francesco Acerbi, Alessandro Bastoni – Federico Dimarco, Nicolo Barella, Kristjan Asllani, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Denzel Dumfries – Lautaro Martinez, Joaquin Correa.
First-choice goalkeeper Yann Sommer, defenders Matteo Darmian and Carlos Augusto, as well as midfielder Nicola Zalewski, will miss the match due to injuries.
Referee
Daniele Doveri (Italy)
Matches – 11 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 21;
Average yellow cards per match – 1.9;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 27%.
Napoli vs. Inter: Match Prediction
This season, Napoli has focused on solid defensive play, minimizing errors at their goal. This strategy has been effective: in the current championship, Napoli has conceded more than one goal only once in 12 home matches, achieving six clean sheets. However, the team's attack has not been as impressive, often securing results without standout performances upfront: in 6 of their last 8 home Serie A matches, the club has scored only once.
Inter, meanwhile, has recently struggled to create chances in away games. In their last five away league matches, Simone Inzaghi's side has scored more than one goal only against Lecce, failing to score against Fiorentina and Juventus. Nevertheless, Inter's defensive performance remains strong: in 9 of their last 10 away Serie A matches, they conceded a maximum of one goal and kept seven clean sheets during this period.
I don't expect the teams to open up in such an important clash, so I'm not anticipating many goals. My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
