The Belarus Cup 2024/25 final between Neman and Torpedo-BelAZ will take place on May 24 at the Neman Stadium in Grodno. Neman vs. Torpedo-BelAZ: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Neman
Igor Kovalevich's team reached the final by overcoming Uni Minsk (0-0, extra time 2-0), Dinamo Minsk (2-0), Isloch (0-0, technical defeat 3-0), and Vitebsk (3-0, 0-1). Notably, after losing the second leg of the semi-final, Neman ended their six-match unbeaten run in regular time in the Belarus Cup (4 wins, 2 draws). Furthermore, the club conceded their first goal in the current tournament. It's worth noting that the Grodno team are the current holders of the national cup, having won the trophy twice in total.
- The club has not lost in regular time in their last 16 home matches in the Belarus Cup (12 wins, 4 draws).
- The team has kept a clean sheet in their last six home matches in this tournament.
- No more than two goals have been scored in regular time in 5 of Neman's last 7 home matches in the national cup.
Predicted lineup for Neman (3-4-3)
Artur Malievsky – Egor Parkhomenko, Alexey Shalashnikov, Yuri Pantya – Yuri Pavlyukovets, Oleg Evdokimov, Mikhail Kozlov, Sergey Pushnyakov – Egor Zubovich, Leonard Gwete, Isaac Ngoma.
Midfielder Konstantin Kuchinsky will not play due to suspension.
Torpedo-BelAZ
Dmitry Molosh's team reached the final by defeating Molodechno (2-0), BATE (2-0), Dinamo Brest (0-0, 1-0), and Vitebsk ML (0-0, 1-0). Torpedo-BelAZ's current unbeaten streak in regular time in the Belarus Cup stands at seven matches (4 wins, 3 draws). Moreover, the team has not conceded a single goal in the current tournament. It's noteworthy that the Zhodino team has previously won the national cup twice.
- The team has not lost in regular time in 8 of their last 10 away matches in the national cup (7 wins, 1 draw).
- At least one opponent has failed to score in 90 minutes in the club's last six away matches in this tournament.
- No more than two goals have been scored in regular time in the last six away matches of the Zhodino team in the Belarus Cup.
Predicted lineup for Torpedo-BelAZ (4-5-1)
Yevgeny Abramovich – Igor Burko, Sergey Politevich, Kirill Premudrov, Kirill Glushchenkov – Kayo Dantas, Teymur Charyev, Alexander Orekhov, Pavel Sedko, Danila Nechaev – Ilya Vasilevich.
Midfielder Alexander Selyava and forward Mamadou Kamara are suspended.
Referee
Dmitry Markov (Belarus)
Matches – 23 (Premier League, 2024–2025);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 68;
Average yellow cards per match – 3;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 22%.
Neman vs. Torpedo-BelAZ: Match Prediction
The home advantage in the final gives the Grodno team an edge, as they have been very successful in cup matches at their home ground in recent years. Over the last 16 home matches in the Belarus Cup, Neman has not suffered a single defeat in regular time, winning 12 times. Additionally, the team has kept clean sheets in their last six home matches in this tournament, and they haven't conceded more than one goal since 2015.
Torpedo-BelAZ often faces challenges on the road. Although the club has won three of their last six away matches in the national cup, two of those victories were against teams that played in the First League last season. Moreover, Zhodino has lost 5 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters at Neman's home ground in the championship. Additionally, Dmitry Molosh's team was weaker than Grodno in a recent Premier League match (0-1).
I do not think Torpedo-BelAZ will win the final. My prediction: Neman with a handicap (0)
