The Matchday 6 Premier League clash between Newcastle and Arsenal will take place on September 28 at St. James' Park. Newcastle vs. Arsenal: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Newcastle
Eddie Howe's side shared the points away with Bournemouth in the last round (0-0). The team has remained unbeaten for three consecutive matches in the league (1 win, 2 draws), and during this period, Newcastle has not conceded a single goal. Moreover, the club leads the league in clean sheets with four. However, they face challenges in terms of scoring. Newcastle has only three goals to their name, with only Aston Villa having a worse record (1). In the overall standings, Eddie Howe's men occupy the 13th position.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 8 of Newcastle's last 9 Premier League matches.
- At home in this tournament, Newcastle has won 7 of their last 9 league matches (2 losses).
- The club has scored at least twice in 7 of their last 9 home league games.
Predicted lineup for Newcastle (5-4-1)
Nick Pope – Malik Thiaw, Valentino Livramento, Lewis Hall, Dan Burn, Sven Botman – Jacob Murphy, Lewis Miley, Sandro Tonali, Joseph Willock – Nick Woltemade.
Midfielder Jacob Ramsey and forward Yoane Wissa will miss the match due to injuries.
Arsenal
The Londoners avoided defeat in the last seconds of their previous match against Manchester City (1-1). The conceded goal was only the second for Mikel Arteta's side in the current league campaign, and no team has a better defensive record. Arsenal trails only their upcoming opponent in clean sheets (3). With 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw), the club sits in second place in the table, five points behind leaders Liverpool.
- The Londoners opened the scoring in 5 of their last 7 Premier League matches.
- The team has not lost in 15 of their last 16 away league matches (8 wins, 7 draws).
- In 5 of their last 7 away Premier League games, Arsenal has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals.
Predicted lineup for Arsenal (4-3-3)
David Raya – Gabriel Magalhaes, Jurrien Timber, William Saliba, Riccardo Calafiori – Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Mikel Merino – Leandro Trossard, Noni Madueke, Viktor Gyokeres.
Forwards Kai Havertz, Noni Madueke, and Gabriel Jesus are injured.
Referee
Jarred Gillett (England)
Matches – 19 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 74;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 21%.
Newcastle vs. Arsenal: Match Prediction
In the last championship, Eddie Howe's side was the fourth most prolific in terms of scoring. However, in the current Premier League season, the team struggles with creating and converting chances. Newcastle has scored only three goals, one of which was against bottom-placed Wolverhampton. The team mainly earns points through solid defense. Four clean sheets are the best in the league, and at home, the club has not conceded more than one goal in 7 of their last 8 Premier League games.
Half of Arsenal's goals in the current championship came in the match against Leeds. The Londoners scored three more against Nottingham Forest. It is unlikely they will achieve such a high-scoring performance against a defensively solid Newcastle, which is the best team in the tournament based on xGA. Mikel Arteta's side is second in this metric.
Additionally, no more than two goals have been scored in the last 6 head-to-head meetings at Newcastle's ground in the Premier League. This is another factor in favor of the prediction Total under 2.5 goals
