The 23rd-round match of the Premier League between Newcastle United and Aston Villa will take place on January 25 at St James' Park. Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Newcastle United
Newcastle United failed to take advantage of a fixture against a league outsider and were held to a 0:0 draw by Wolverhampton Wanderers. As a result the club's three-match winning run in the league came to an end. Interestingly, the home side have now recorded a goalless draw for the fourth time in the current season of the Premier League. Currently the club sits in eighth place in the table, but the Champions League places are only three points away. It is also worth noting that in the previous 11 matches in the Premier League the home side have suffered just two defeats (six wins and three draws).
- At least three goals were scored in 11 of the club's last 15 matches in the Premier League.
- Both teams scored in 11 of Newcastle United's previous 15 league games.
- At home the hosts have an eight-match unbeaten run in the Premier League (six wins and two draws).
Potential Newcastle United Lineup (4-3-3)*
Newcastle United: Nick Pope – Sven Botman, Kieran Trippier, Lewis Hall, Malik Tiaw – Bruno Guimarães, Joelinton, Sandro Tonali – Nick Woltemade, Anthony Gordon, Harvey Barnes.
Due to injuries, midfielder Bruno Guimarães, forwards Jacob Murphy and William Osula, and defenders Jamaal Lascelles, Fabian Schär, Valentino Livramento, Dan Burn and Emil Kraft will miss the match.
Aston Villa
Aston Villa have failed to score in two consecutive matches in the Premier League. This had not happened to the team since the third round. First the team drew 0:0 away with Crystal Palace, then they surprisingly lost 0:1 at home to Everton. Interestingly, all three Premier League leaders failed to score in the last round, something not seen in the competition since May 2018. The team remain in third place in the table, although the gap to leaders Arsenal is now seven points. It is also worth adding that the team have won nine of their previous 12 league matches (one draw and two defeats).
- Both teams scored in 7 of Aston Villa's last 9 matches in the Premier League.
- At least three goals were scored in 7 of the club's previous 9 matches in the Premier League.
- The visitors have avoided defeat in 8 of their last 10 away league games (five wins and three draws).
Potential Aston Villa Lineup (4-5-1)*
Aston Villa: Emiliano Martínez – Ezri Konsa, Jan Matsen, Matty Cash, Pau Torres – Emiliano Buendía, John McGinn, Lamar Bogarde, Morgan Rogers, Youri Tielemans – Ollie Watkins.
Due to injuries, midfielders John McGinn, Boubacar Kamara, Amadou Onana and Ross Barkley are out. Note the return from loan of forwards Leon Bailey and Tammy Abraham.
Referee
Jarred Gillett (Australia)
Matches – 12 (the Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow Cards (including second yellow) – 45;
Average Yellow Cards Per Match – 3.8;
Red Cards Shown – 1;
Average Fouls Per Match – 20;
Penalties – 25%.
Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: Match Prediction
Aston Villa failed to take advantage of the collective slip-up by nearby rivals and themselves produced two consecutive league matches without a win. The opposition faced were mid-table teams in the Premier League. Now they face a very tough away match against Newcastle United, who have taken 70% of their points in the current campaign at home. We believe that Aston Villa will most likely drop a few more points and will concede at least two goals.
Newcastle United have looked excellent at St James' Park, where they are unbeaten in eight consecutive matches in the Premier League. In this run the club has never scored fewer than two goals in a game. By contrast, Aston Villa have conceded in 8 of their last 9 away league games. It is also worth adding that Newcastle United have not lost to Aston Villa at their stadium in 13 straight Premier League meetings, and in the last three head-to-heads the hosts have never scored fewer than three goals against this opponent.
Prediction: Newcastle United Over 1.5 goals
* For each team, the starting lineup shown is the one used in their previous match in this competition.
