Quarter-final match of the English League Cup between Newcastle and Brentford will take place on December 18 at St. James' Park in Newcastle upon Tyne. Newcastle vs. Brentford: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Sam Barrott (England)
Matches – 11 (Premier League and English League Cup, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 59;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.4;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 9%.
Predicted lineups for Newcastle vs. Brentford
Newcastle (4-3-3): Nick Pope – Lewis Hall, Lloyd Kelly, Fabian Schär, Emil Krafth – Joelinton, Sandro Tonali, Sean Longstaff – Joseph Willock, Alexander Isak, Anthony Gordon.
Brentford (4-2-3-1): Mark Flekken – Jayden Meghoma, Nathan Collins, Sepp van den Berg, Ben Mee – Vitaly Janelt, Mathias Jensen – Bryan Mbeumo, Keane Lewis-Potter, Fabio Carvalho – Kevin Schade.
Each team's starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is indicated.
Newcastle
Eddie Howe's side has already progressed through three stages of the current English League Cup, defeating Premier League representatives in two of them. The team narrowly overcame Nottingham Forest away (1-1, penalties 4-3), then secured home victories with clean sheets against AFC Wimbledon (1-0) and Chelsea (2-0). Overall, Newcastle is unbeaten in regular time in their last six matches in this tournament (4 wins and 2 draws). Last season, the club reached the quarter-final stage, losing to Chelsea (1-1, penalties 2-4).
- No more than three goals have been scored in regular time in the last 16 matches in this tournament.
- At least one team failed to score in 9 of Newcastle's last 12 English League Cup games after 90 minutes.
- The club has not conceded in the first half in their last six matches in this cup.
Brentford
The Londoners have also played through three stages of the English League Cup, but their opponents were much easier. The team started with an away victory over Colchester United (1-0), followed by home wins against Leyton Orient (3-1) and Sheffield Wednesday (1-1, penalties 5-4). Three years ago, Thomas Frank's side reached the quarter-final, only to be stopped by Chelsea (2-0). Notably, in the last seven matches in this tournament, the club has lost only once in regular time (3 wins and 3 draws).
- In 8 of the last 9 matches for the Londoners in this cup, no more than two goals were scored in regular time.
- The number "1" appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in six of Brentford's previous League Cup encounters.
- Away in this tournament, the team has not lost in 6 of their last 7 matches (4 wins and 2 draws) in regular time.
Newcastle vs. Brentford: Match Prediction
In the last 10 years, the Londoners have played 13 away matches in this cup, suffering only two defeats in regular time. In both cases, these were matches against Premier League clubs fighting for European competition spots. In other cases, the team remained unbeaten, but these were games against lower-league opponents, and there was a win against Southampton, who are a Premier League underdog. I assume that this time Brentford will not be able to challenge a Premier League club fighting for a finish in the European competition zone.
Newcastle has a six-match winning streak at home in this tournament. Additionally, the team has conceded only one goal in regular time in their last nine home English League Cup matches. It should also be noted that Newcastle has defeated Brentford in 5 of the last 6 Premier League meetings. Furthermore, the Londoners have lost 7 of their last 8 away Premier League matches, with one ending in a draw.
My prediction – Newcastle Win
