The FA Cup Round of 16 match between Newcastle and Brighton will take place on March 2 at St James' Park in Newcastle-upon-Tyne. Newcastle vs. Brighton: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Newcastle
Eddie Howe's side navigated through the previous rounds of the FA Cup against lower division opponents and secured victories. First, they defeated Bromley at home with a score of 3-1, and then they managed to overcome Birmingham away (3-2). Last season, the team reached the quarter-finals, where they were defeated by Manchester City (0-2). Incidentally, the loss to the Citizens is their only defeat in regular time in the last six matches in this tournament (4 wins and 1 draw).
- The club has not won in the first half in 8 of their last 10 FA Cup matches (6 draws and 2 losses).
- The team has conceded at home in this tournament in 10 of their last 11 encounters.
- In the last nine home games in the FA Cup, Newcastle has secured only one victory in the second half (4 draws and 5 losses).
Predicted lineup for Newcastle (4-3-3)
Nick Pope – Emil Krafth, Valentino Livramento, Matt Targett, Dan Burn – Sean Longstaff, Bruno Guimarães, Lewis Miley – William Osula, Joseph Willock, Callum Wilson.
Brighton
The team started their current FA Cup campaign with a resounding victory over Norwich (4-0). In the previous stage, the opponent was much stronger, but with the support of their fans, the club managed to handle Chelsea (2-1). Last season, Brighton was halted in the Round of 16, losing to Wolverhampton (0-1). However, two years ago, the team reached the semi-finals of this tournament, where they only lost to Manchester United in a penalty shootout.
- The club has secured 8 victories in regular time in their last 10 FA Cup encounters (1 draw and 1 loss).
- At least three goals were scored in 8 of Brighton's last 11 matches in this tournament.
- The team has not lost in the second half in 12 previous FA Cup games (7 wins and 5 draws).
Predicted lineup for Brighton (4-2-3-1)
Bart Verbruggen – Tariq Lamptey, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Joel Veltman – Jack Hinshelwood, Carlos Baleba – Yasin Ayari, Kaoru Mitoma, Jorginho Rutter – Danny Welbeck.
Referee
Anthony Taylor (England)
Matches – 24 (Premier League and FA Cup, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 74;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 29%.
Newcastle vs. Brighton: Match Prediction
Since Brighton's promotion to the Premier League in 2017, the opponents have faced each other 15 times in the league, with Newcastle only emerging victorious twice. In the other encounters, Brighton has six wins, and there have been seven draws. Notably, Eddie Howe's side lost the first leg at home with a score of 0-1.
For the hosts, this opponent is quite tricky. Therefore, I predict that the visitors will at least avoid defeat this time. Brighton is very dangerous even away in the FA Cup, having won 5 of their last 6 away matches. Additionally, in the Premier League, Fabian Hurzeler's team has lost only once in their last seven away games (3 wins and 3 draws). Meanwhile, Newcastle has failed to win 5 of their last 7 home FA Cup matches (2 draws and 3 losses).
My prediction: Brighton to win or draw
