The Matchday 15 Premier League fixture between Newcastle and Burnley will take place on December 6 at St James' Park. Newcastle – Burnley: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Newcastle
Eddie Howe's side head into the upcoming fixture unbeaten in three league games. Interestingly, the club had not enjoyed such a positive run in the Premier League since April. Newcastle beat Manchester City (2-1) and Everton (4-1) before drawing 2-2 with Tottenham in the last round — a match they could have won had Tottenham not salvaged a late equaliser in the 95th minute. The Magpies have climbed to 12th in the table and are now only five points off the European places.
- Both teams scored in each of the club's last seven Premier League matches.
- At least three goals were scored in seven of Newcastle's previous league games.
- The team has won 10 of their last 14 home Premier League matches (1 draw, 3 defeats).
Probable Newcastle lineup (4-3-3)
Aaron Ramsdale – Valentino Livramento, Malik Thiaw, Lewis Hall, Dan Burn – Sandro Tonali, Lewis Miley, Joelinton – Jacob Murphy, Harvey Barnes, Nick Woltemade.
Unavailable through injury: forwards Yoan Wissa and Will Osula, and defenders Kieran Trippier and Emil Krafth.
Burnley
Burnley lost 0-1 at home to Crystal Palace in the previous round, marking their fifth straight league defeat; in three of those losses the side failed to score. That run has taken its toll on the table — Scott Parker's men remain in the relegation zone and sit three points adrift of safety. Notably, Burnley, alongside Liverpool, have been the most uncompromising side in the division with just one draw so far. The Clarets have conceded 28 goals, one fewer than Wolverhampton, who currently have the worst defensive record in the league.
- The club has failed to win in 10 of their last 12 Premier League matches (1 draw, 9 defeats).
- Burnley have conceded at least two goals in 7 of their last 9 league games.
- Both teams scored in six of the team's previous away Premier League matches.
Probable Burnley lineup (4-4-2)
Martin Dúbravka – Hjalmar Ekdal, Kyle Walker, Qvilindsi Hartman, Maxim Esteve – Jaydon Anthony, Florentin, Josh Callan, Lum Chauna – Lyle Foster, Zian Flemming.
Injured: forward Zeku Amduni, defender Connor Roberts and midfielder Luis Bayer.
Referee
Stuart Attwell (England)
Matches – 9 (Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 45;
Average yellow cards per match – 5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 33%.
Match prediction Newcastle – Burnley
On current form, Eddie Howe's side are highly likely to come out on top in this meeting. The gulf in form between the two teams in this season's campaign is clear. The Premier League is densely competitive, so a club sitting 12th can quickly find themselves inside the European spots with a couple of positive results — Newcastle will be fully motivated to beat a struggling Burnley and can do so by playing well in attack.
Newcastle are strong at home and have scored at least twice in each of their last four league matches at St James' Park. Burnley have been poor on the road, frequently losing while conceding two or more goals, which was the case in eight of their recent Premier League away fixtures. Therefore, I expect to see at least three goals in this match — a pattern that has occurred in 16 of Newcastle's last 20 home league games and in 15 of Burnley's previous 17 away league matches.
My prediction – Total over 3
* For each team the starting lineup shown is the XI they used in their last match in this competition.
