The Matchday 4 clash in the 2025/26 Champions League group stage between Olympiacos (Greece) and PSV (Netherlands) will take place on November 4 at the Karaiskakis Stadium in Piraeus. Olympiacos vs. PSV: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Olympiacos
Jose Luis Mendilibar's side has only accumulated 1 point after three rounds, placing them 33rd. The club started the group stage with a goalless home draw against Pafos, followed by two away defeats. First, they lost to Arsenal (0-2), then suffered a heavy defeat to Barcelona (1-6). As a result, the Greeks have not won in the Champions League for seven matches – 4 draws and 3 losses.
- The team has only 2 wins in their last 14 games in this European competition (4 draws and 8 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of Olympiacos's last 10 Champions League matches.
- The Greeks have not scored more than 1 goal in their last 7 home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Olympiacos (4-2-3-1)
Konstantinos Tzolakis – Costinha, Panagiotis Retsos, Lorenzo Pirola, Francisco Ortega – Gelson Martins, Christos Mouzakitis – Daniel Podence, Chiquinho, Gabriel Strefezza – Ayoub El Kaabi.
Midfielder Santiago Esse is suspended.
PSV
The Dutch team had a shaky start to the group stage, unexpectedly losing at home to Union (1-3). The club learned from this defeat and has not lost since. They first visited Bayer and drew (1-1), followed by a sensational 6-2 home victory over the reigning Italian champions Napoli. This lifted the team to 16th place, just two points away from the top 8.
- The club has not won in 4 of their last 5 Champions League matches (2 draws and 2 losses).
- Both teams scored in PSV's last 9 matches in this tournament.
- At least three goals have been scored in 8 of the Dutch team's last 9 games in this European competition.
Predicted lineup for PSV (4-3-3)
Matej Kovar – Anass Salah-Eddine, Ryan Flamingo, Jarek Gasirowski, Mauro Junior – Jerdy Schouten, Joey Veerman, Ismael Saibari – Ivan Perisic, Guus Til, Dennis Man.
Defender Wessel Koon and forwards Alassane Pléa and Ruben van Bommel are injured.
Referee
Clement Turpin (France)
Matches – 19 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 64;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 58%.
Match Prediction: Olympiacos vs. PSV
In the upcoming match, I expect high scoring. After three unconvincing performances, the hosts need to focus more on their attacking play, as with just 1 point, they are unlikely to be among the top 24. The Greeks urgently need a win, which requires them to spend more time attacking and opening up, something the visitors, who enjoy active football, will also capitalize on.
Olympiacos has scored in 10 of their last 14 home Champions League matches. They will score again, as the Dutch team consistently concedes in this tournament – this has been the case in their last 19 matches. But the visitors will also find the net, as the Greeks have shown during the group stage that they have defensive issues. PSV has not left the field without scoring in 14 of their last 15 games in this European competition.
My prediction – Both teams to score – yes
