The Matchday 8 fixture of the 2024/25 Europa League between Olympiacos (Greece) and Qarabag (Azerbaijan) will take place on January 30 at the Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium in Piraeus. Olympiacos vs. Qarabag: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Olympiacos
Under the guidance of José Luis Mendilibar, Olympiacos secured a 1-0 away victory over Porto in their last outing. This triumph extended their unbeaten run in the Europa League to six matches (3 wins, 3 draws). Furthermore, the club has kept a clean sheet in three consecutive matches in this competition. The Greeks currently sit in 12th place with 12 points and have already secured a spot in the playoffs. A victory would allow Olympiacos to aim for a direct ticket to the Round of 16.
Midfielder Yusuf Yazıcı will miss the game due to injury.
- The club has not lost in regular time in 7 of their last 8 home matches in the Europa League (5 wins, 2 draws).
- Olympiacos has scored at least two goals in 90 minutes in 5 of their last 7 home games in this competition.
- The Greeks have not conceded more than one goal in regular time in 6 of their last 8 home Europa League matches.
Qarabag
In the previous round, Gurban Gurbanov's side fell to a 2-3 defeat at home against FCSB. This loss marked Qarabag's sixth defeat in the group stage. Additionally, the club has conceded at least three goals in four matches in this Europa League campaign. With only three points, Qarabag is in 34th place and is not in contention for a playoff spot.
- The team has not won in regular time in 5 of their last 7 away matches in the Europa League (1 draw, 4 losses).
- At least three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 6 of Qarabag's last 7 away games in this competition.
- Both opponents have scored in regular time in 5 of Qarabag's last 6 away Europa League encounters.
Predicted lineups for Olympiacos vs. Qarabag
Olympiacos (4-3-3): Konstantinos Tzolakis – Rodinei, Panagiotis Retsos, Francisco Ortega, David Carmo – Christos Mouzakitis, Chiquinho, Dani García – Charalampos Kostoulas, Georgios Masouras, Ayoub El Kaabi.
Qarabag (4-2-3-1): Fabian Buntic – Kevin Medina, Elvin Jafarguliyev, Mateus Silva, Behlul Mustafazade – Marko Jankovic, Julio Romao – Abdellah Zoubir, Leandro Andrade, Aleksey Kashchuk – Nariman Ahundzade.
Each team's starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is listed.
Referee: Radu Petrescu (Romania)
Matches – 7 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 36;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.1;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 29%.
Olympiacos vs. Qarabag: Match Prediction
In this Europa League campaign, Olympiacos has focused on solid defense rather than high-scoring games. Over seven group stage matches, Olympiacos players have scored only six goals, including just one in the last three games. However, the team has defended exceptionally well, allowing few opportunities for opponents: José Luis Mendilibar's squad has conceded just three goals in the current Europa League, achieving five clean sheets.
Qarabag's European season has not been entirely successful. A notable decline in their attacking play is evident – a usually high-scoring club has netted only six goals in this Europa League campaign, whereas last season they scored 14 goals in just seven away matches in the tournament. Moreover, in the group stage, Gurban Gurbanov's side has scored in only one of their three away games – against Bodø/Glimt.
I do not expect this to be a high-scoring match, so my prediction: Total under 3.5 goals