The Matchday 9 clash in the MIR RPL between Orenburg and Dynamo Moscow will take place on September 21 at the Gazovik Stadium. Orenburg vs. Dynamo Moscow: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Orenburg
Vladimir Slishkovich's team lost to Pari NN (1-3) in the last round. This season, Orenburg has only one win (4 draws, 4 losses), and the team failed to score in just two matches during this period. However, Orenburg has conceded goals in 7 consecutive RPL matches, with a total of 13 goals against, a statistic worse than only three other teams. In the standings, Orenburg is in 13th place, but among the bottom half of the table, the team is one of the top two in scoring (10 goals).
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Orenburg's last 6 RPL matches.
- The team has not won at home in 7 consecutive league matches (5 draws, 2 losses).
- In 8 of the last 9 home games in this tournament, the club conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals.
Predicted lineup for Orenburg (4-4-2)
Bogdan Ovsyannikov – Artem Kasimov, Emil Tsenov, Henri Chichinadze, Fahd Moufi – Stepan Oganesyan, Irakli Kvekveskiri, Vladislav Kamilov, Du Queiroz – Emirjan Gyurlyuk, Jordi Thompson.
Dynamo Moscow
The derby against Spartak resulted in a draw for Valery Karpin's team (2-2). The Moscow club has not won in 5 of their last 6 league matches (2 draws, 3 losses), which keeps them in the lower half of the table. However, Dynamo has conceded only 9 goals, with only four teams boasting a better defense. The team has yet to reach double digits in goals scored, although they have found the net in 4 of their last 5 Premier League matches.
- Valery Karpin's side conceded first in 5 of their last 6 Premier League games.
- The club has not scored more than one goal in 10 of their last 11 away matches in this tournament.
- Dynamo has not lost to Orenburg in 5 of their last 6 league encounters (4 wins, 1 draw).
Predicted lineup for Dynamo Moscow (4-3-3)
Andrey Lunev – Rubens Dias, Maxim Osipenko, Nicolas Marichal, Juan Caceres – Daniil Fomin, Danil Glebov, Bitello – Ivan Sergeev, Anton Miranchuk, El-Mehdi Mauhub.
Injuries include defender Milan Majstorovic, forwards Yaroslav Gladyshev, Denis Makarov, and Artur Gomez, as well as midfielder Luis Chavez. Forward Mumi Ngamale will not participate in the match by the coach's decision.
Referee
Sergey Tsyganko (Russia)
Matches – 6 (RPL, 2024/25 - 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 23;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 67%.
Orenburg vs. Dynamo Moscow: Match Prediction
Before the last round, Orenburg had not lost by more than one goal in this championship. However, Nizhny Novgorod showed uncharacteristically excellent finishing, a weakness shared by Vladimir Slishkovich's immediate opponents, who are among the tournament's bottom three. At home, Orenburg consistently picks up points, and if they do lose, it's usually not by a large margin. Since last season, the team has lost 8 times at home in the RPL, but 6 of those defeats were by a minimal margin.
Both of Moscow's wins this season have been at home. On the road, Valery Karpin's team has dropped points even against Sochi and Makhachkala. Moreover, Dynamo has won only one of their last 11 away matches in the Premier League (5 draws, 5 losses).
Orenburg has not lost to Dynamo in 4 of their last 5 home league meetings, with their only defeat in this stretch being 1-2. Considering Dynamo's current form, the hosts should maintain a positive handicap. My prediction: Orenburg with a handicap (+1)
