The Matchday 11 clash in the Russian Premier League between Orenburg and Rostov will take place on October 5 at the Gazovik Stadium. Orenburg vs. Rostov: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Orenburg
Vladimir Slishkovich's side suffered a 2-5 defeat away to Zenit in the previous round. The team's winless streak in the league has reached five matches (2 draws, 3 losses), and they have conceded goals in their last nine RPL encounters. Moreover, the club has failed to keep a clean sheet in 18 of their last 19 Premier League matches. In the standings, Orenburg is in 13th place, just one point above the relegation zone.
- At least three goals have been scored in Orenburg's last six Premier League matches.
- The team has not won at home in their last eight league matches (5 draws, 3 losses).
- In 8 of their last 10 home games in this tournament, Orenburg has conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals.
Predicted lineup for Orenburg (3-4-3)
Bogdan Ovsyannikov – Artem Kasimov, Emil Tsenov, Henri Chichinadze – Georgy Zotov, Vladislav Kamilov, Du Queiros, Fahd Moufi – Jordi Thompson, Maxim Savelyev, Stepan Oganesyan.
Rostov
In the last round, the team held Krasnodar to a 0-0 draw. Jonathan Alba's side is unbeaten in five Premier League matches (1 win, 4 draws), and Rostov has kept a clean sheet in three consecutive games. Notably, the last time the club had such a long "dry" spell in the RPL was in 2017. However, Rostov has failed to score in two consecutive games, which has not happened to the team in this championship. In the overall standings, Rostov is in 11th place.
- At least one opponent has failed to score in 5 of Rostov's last 7 Premier League matches.
- The team has not won away in their last eight matches in this tournament (4 draws, 4 losses).
- In 7 of Rostov's last 8 away RPL games, they have not scored more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Rostov (4-4-2)
Rustam Yatimov – Dmitry Chistyakov, Viktor Melekhin, Ilya Vakhania, Umar Sako – Konstantin Kuchaev, Alexey Mironov, Kirill Schetinin, Mohammad Mohebi – Ronaldo, Yegor Golenkov.
Defender Eyad El-Askalani is injured.
Referee
Ivan Saraev (Russia)
Matches – 11 (First League, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 49;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 33%.
Orenburg vs. Rostov: Match Prediction
Rostov has significantly improved their defense. In their last four league matches, the team has conceded only one goal. Heading into this game, Jonathan Alba's side boasts a three-match "dry" streak in the RPL – the longest active streak this season. It's important to note the opponents that Rostov has kept at bay, such as CSKA and Krasnodar, who rank in the top four for scoring. Additionally, in 7 of their last 9 away Premier League matches, the club has conceded no more than one goal.
Orenburg scores regularly, but in the upcoming match, the team will find it challenging to maintain their usual scoring rate. Against well-defending opponents, Vladimir Slishkovich's side appears more modest in attack. Yes, in the last round, the club scored twice against Zenit, but the St. Petersburg team relaxed at the end of the match. Meanwhile, at home, Orenburg has not scored more than once in 6 of their last 8 Premier League matches.
My prediction: Orenburg individual total under 1.5
