The Matchday 14 clash in the Russian Premier League between Orenburg and Sochi will take place on November 2 at the Gazovik Stadium. Orenburg vs. Sochi: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Orenburg
In the previous round, the team suffered a 0-1 defeat away to Spartak, extending their winless streak in the Premier League to eight matches (3 draws, 5 losses). This was only the fourth time in the current championship that Orenburg failed to score. The team hardly threatened the Moscow goal, managing just one shot on target, which matches their worst performance of the season (average 3.8). In the standings, Ildar Akhmetzyanov's side is in 14th place.
- Orenburg has conceded in 12 consecutive RPL games.
- The team has not won in their last nine home matches in the championship (5 draws, 4 losses).
- Orenburg has not lost to their upcoming opponent in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head encounters in this tournament, securing 3 victories.
Predicted lineup for Orenburg (4-5-1)
Bogdan Ovsyannikov – Danila Khotulev, Fahd Moufi, Henri Chichinadze, Danila Vedernikov – Dmitry Rybchinsky, Evgeny Bolotov, Irakli Kvekveskiri, Jordi Thompson, Stepan Oganesyan – Alexandre Jesus.
Defender Emil Tsenov is injured.
Sochi
In the last round, Sochi surprisingly defeated Akhmat away (4-2). Of their 8 points in the current championship, 7 have been earned in the last 4 matches (2 wins, 1 draw), with the only loss against Zenit. It was the first time in the RPL 2025/26 that the club scored more than two goals. Sochi has scored a total of 11 goals, with only Pari NN (9) and Makhachkala (6) having fewer. This successful period has slightly improved Igor Osinkin's side's position in the standings: they have left the bottom spot and reduced the gap to the safe 12th place to 4 points.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Sochi's last 7 Premier League games.
- The team has lost 5 of their last 7 away matches in the championship (1 win, 1 draw).
- In 6 of the last 7 away matches in this tournament, the club has conceded at least two goals.
Predicted lineup for Sochi (4-5-1)
Yuri Dyupin – Marcelo Alves, Kirill Zaika, Ruslan Magal, Alexander Soldatenkov – Roman Yezhov, Mikhail Ignatov, Ignacio Saavedra, Anton Zinkovsky, Dmitry Vasilyev – Vladimir Ilyin.
Forward Pavel Meleshin and defender Anton Makarchuk are injured.
Referee
Evgeny Bulanov (Russia)
Matches – 7 (RPL, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 34;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.9;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 32;
Penalties – 29%.
Match Prediction: Orenburg vs. Sochi
Both teams are fighting for survival, and the upcoming game presents a good opportunity for each to escape the danger zone. There's no point in sitting back defensively, and where better to pick up points than against a direct competitor? Especially since Orenburg has a very challenging schedule before the winter break, they need results here and now. I am confident we will see attacking football, which, given the defensive issues both teams face, should delight fans with goals.
Both teams have only one clean sheet each in the current championship, with no team performing worse in this regard. Orenburg's clean sheet was in the first round, while Sochi only kept a clean sheet against Makhachkala, the tournament's lowest-scoring club. The opponents rank among the bottom three in xGA, with over 50 goals conceded between them.
Additionally, at least three goals have been scored in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head encounters between the teams in the RPL. This is another factor supporting the prediction of Total over 2.5 goals.
