The Matchday 22 fixture in the Mir Russian Premier League between Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow will take place on 22 March at the Gazovik. Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Orenburg Form
After two home wins, the trip to face the side from Makhachkala ended in a 0:1 defeat for Orenburg under Ildar Akhmetzyanov. The home team have now lost for the 11th time in the current league campaign, and this match also became the ninth in which they failed to score. It is worth noting that only two teams find the net less often. Because their rivals have picked up results, Orenburg have dropped into the relegation zone in the standings, while the gap to the safe 12th place has grown to three points. At the same time, the club rank in the league’s top four for average corners won per match (5.6).
- No more than two goals were scored in 6 of the last 7 Orenburg matches in the Russian Premier League.
- At home, the team avoided defeat in 6 of the previous 8 Premier League matches (3 wins, 3 draws).
- In their last 5 home games in this tournament, the club have not conceded more than one goal.
Potential Orenburg Lineup (4-5-1)
Bogdan Ovsyannikov – Fahd Moufi, Emil Tsenov, Jhon Palacios, Danila Vedernikov – Damian Puebla, Tigran Avanesyan, Jordhy Thompson, Emircan Gurluk, Evgeniy Bolotov – Maksim Saveliev.
Spartak Moscow Form
A visit to Zenit ended in a 0:2 defeat for Spartak Moscow, which was their first loss in the last four league matches (2 wins, 1 draw). However, the visitors have conceded in a fifth straight Russian Premier League game. Overall, the club have allowed 30 goals, the most among teams in the top half of the table. The team themselves failed to score for just the third time this season, but they managed only one shot on target against the Saint Petersburg side (their season average is 4.7). Despite the setback, the side coached by Juan Carlos Carcedo remained sixth in the standings.
- There was a goal in both halves in 6 of the previous 8 Spartak Moscow matches in the Premier League.
- Away from home, the team have not won 5 of their last 7 league games (1 draw, 4 defeats).
- The Moscow club have conceded in 7 consecutive away matches in this tournament.
Potential Spartak Moscow Lineup (4-3-3)
Aleksandr Maksimenko – Daniil Denisov, Christopher Wu, Oleg Ryabchuk, Aleksandr Djikia – Ezequiel Barco, Nail Umyarov, Gedson Fernandes – Manfred Ugalde, Marquinhos, Pablo Solari.
The team’s injury list includes defenders Srdjan Babic and Ilya Samoshnikov, as well as midfielder Igor Dmitriev.
Who Will Referee the Match
Rafael Shafeev (Russia)
Matches – 8 (Russian Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 35;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 3;
Fouls per match on average – 27;
Penalties – 38%.
Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow: Match Prediction
The side coached by Ildar Akhmetzyanov were unable to break down the Makhachkala defence, which ranks among the league’s top five for solidity, although by xG they came close to scoring. Before that, Orenburg scored four goals across two home matches, including against Zenit. On home soil, the hosts have generally shown decent output, scoring in 6 of their last 8 league games, and in five of those they struck at least twice. It is also important to add that although since the season resumed Orenburg have not conceded more than one goal in 3 of 4 official matches, the club have allowed opponents to create 30 clear-cut chances.
For the third consecutive Spartak Moscow match in the Russian Premier League, their net has seen at least two goals. The visitors were the first side from the top half of the table to reach 40 goals conceded. Moreover, away from home in this league season, the team have kept just one clean sheet. Last time out, the club failed to score for only the second time in their previous 19 Premier League games, but it is also difficult to score away at Zenit. Their upcoming opponents offer far more space in and around their own penalty area.
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
