The Round of 16 match in the Spanish Cup between Ourense and Valencia will take place on January 14 at Estadio O Couto. Ourense vs. Valencia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias (Spain)
Matches – 13 (La Liga, Spanish Cup and Super Cup, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 49;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 19;
Penalties – 8%.
Predicted lineups for Ourense vs. Valencia
Ourense (4-2-3-1): Patricio Guillen – Raul Prada, Alex Salaya, Miguel Prado, Moises Rodriguez – Alejandro Fidalgo, Erin Ramos – Angel Sanchez, Jairo Noriega, Alberto Gil – Gonzalo Di Renzo.
Valencia (4-2-3-1): Stole Dimitrievski – Cesar Tárrega, Jesus Vázquez, Dimitri Foulquier, Christian Mosquera – Hugo Guillamón, Pepelu – Sergi Canos, Javi Guerra, Diego Lopez – Hugo Duro.
Each team's starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
Ourense
The team rarely competes in the Spanish Cup, but this season has been incredibly successful. The club has overcome all its opponents with narrow victories. Pablo Lopez's side first defeated Guijuelo away with a score of 2-1, then managed to beat Deportivo (1-0) and Valladolid (3-2) at home.
- The club has not lost in regular time in their last five matches in this tournament (3 wins and 2 draws).
- In the last 9 matches in the Spanish Cup and Segunda B, Ourense has suffered only one defeat (6 wins and 2 draws).
- In their last seven home matches in both Spanish tournaments, the team has not lost once (5 wins and 2 draws).
Valencia
Valencia also played three matches in this season's Copa del Rey, all away, and avoided extra time. The team successively defeated Parla Escuela (1-0), Ejea (3-1), and Eldense (2-0). Notably, Valencia has won the Spanish Cup six times and reached the final 11 times (the last attempt was in 2022). Last season, the club ended its campaign in this tournament at the Round of 16, losing to Celta (1-3).
- In the last 18 Copa del Rey matches, the club has suffered only two defeats in regular time (12 wins and 4 draws).
- No more than three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 6 of Valencia's last 7 games in this tournament.
- The number "1" appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in 5 of Valencia's last 6 matches in the Spanish Cup.
Ourense vs. Valencia: Match Prediction
The Galicians represent the third tier of Spanish football – Segunda B. Even there, the team is not showing quality football, sitting at the bottom of the league table. All their efforts are focused on the Spanish Cup, where they have already knocked out Segunda side Deportivo and La Liga strugglers Valladolid. Even in their previous two participations in this tournament, Ourense, although eliminated at the first stage, only lost in extra time or on penalties.
Valencia, despite having a good record in the Spanish Cup, has achieved this against teams from lower divisions. It's worth noting that the team rarely wins convincingly in this tournament – in their last 17 matches, Valencia has won by two or more goals only five times. Therefore, I believe that even if the hosts lose to one of the weakest teams in La Liga, it will be by a maximum of one goal. My prediction is Ourense with a handicap (+1).
