The second leg of the 2024/25 Conference League playoff between Pafos (Cyprus) and Omonia (Cyprus) will take place on February 20 at the Limassol Stadium. The first match ended in a 1-1 draw. Pafos vs. Omonia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Pafos
Juan Carlos Carcedo's side managed a 1-1 draw against Omonia in the first leg at their opponent's ground. As a result, Pafos has avoided defeat for the sixth time in their last eight Conference League matches (4 wins, 2 draws). To progress to the next round, the team needs a win in regular time. Notably, Pafos has attempted 115 shots in this season's Conference League, ranking fourth in this metric.
- The club has won in regular time in 5 of their last 6 home matches in the Conference League.
- The team has kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 6 home games in this European competition.
- No more than two goals have been scored in regular time in 5 of Pafos' last 6 home matches in the Conference League.
Predicted lineup for Pafos (4-1-4-1)
Ivica Ivusic – Bruno Souza Silva, David Gomez Goldar, Zvonimir Sarlija, Jonathan Silva – Pepe Rodrigues – Vlad Dragomir, Ivan Sunjic, Jairo da Silva, Muamer Tankovic – Djaja.
Omonia
Yannis Anastasiou's team could not secure a win in the first leg against Pafos, marking their fifth failure to win in their last six Conference League outings (2 draws, 3 losses). Additionally, Omonia has scored in only two of these matches. To advance to the next round, the team must win in regular time, and in the event of a draw, extra time will be played. Notably, the club has never reached the last 16 of any European competition in the 21st century.
- The team has not won in regular time in their last four away matches in the Conference League (1 draw, 3 losses).
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in regular time in five of the club's last away matches in this European competition.
- No more than two goals have been scored in regular time in Omonia's last five away matches in the Conference League.
Predicted lineup for Omonia (4-2-3-1)
Fabiano Freitas – Alpha Dionkou, Amin Hammas, Senu Koulibaly, Nicholas Panayiotou – Novica Erakovic, Mateo Maric – Stevan Jovetic, Willy Semedo, Loizos Loizou – Andronikos Kakoullis.
Referee
Clement Turpin (France)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.8;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 60%.
Pafos vs. Omonia: Match Prediction
The first meeting between these two Cypriot teams was not a spectacular affair, and I don't expect a goal-fest in the return leg either. Pafos has shown in this season's Conference League that they can achieve maximum results at home without taking too many risks: the club has won five out of six matches, but only in two of them did they score more than one goal. At the same time, they have been defensively solid, keeping five clean sheets in six home matches in this European competition.
Omonia does not play aggressively in attack when away, focusing more on defensive quality. As a result, the club has not scored in their last four away matches in the Conference League. However, they have allowed few opportunities to their opponents, conceding more than one goal in only one of their last six away matches in this European competition.
I don't see any reason to expect a high-scoring game. My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
