The second leg of the Copa Libertadores 2025 semi-final between Palmeiras (Brazil) and LDU Quito (Ecuador) will take place on October 31 at the Allianz Stadium in São Paulo. The first leg ended with a 3-0 victory for LDU Quito. Palmeiras vs. LDU Quito: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Palmeiras
Abel Ferreira's side suffered a 0-3 defeat away in the first leg, conceding all three goals before halftime. As a result, Palmeiras experienced their first loss in the current Copa Libertadores campaign (9 wins and 1 draw prior). Moreover, the team lost by a large margin for the first time in this tournament since 1995. To reach their third Copa Libertadores final in the last six seasons, the Brazilians need to win by a four-goal margin in regular time.
- The club is unbeaten in their last 25 home matches in the Copa Libertadores (16 wins, 9 draws).
- The team has kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 7 home games in this tournament.
- The Brazilians have not scored more than two goals in 6 of their last 8 home matches in the Copa Libertadores.
Predicted lineup for Palmeiras (4-5-1)
Carlos Miguel – Joaquín Piquerez, Khellven, Gustavo Gómez, Murilo – Andreas Pereira, Raphael Veiga, Felipe Anderson, Emiliano Martínez, José López – Vitor Roque.
Goalkeeper Weverton, midfielders Aníbal Moreno and Lucas Evangelista, and forward Paulinho will miss the match due to injuries.
LDU Quito
Tiago Nunes' team secured only their second large-margin victory in their last 17 Copa Libertadores matches in the first leg. Additionally, LDU Quito kept their eighth clean sheet in the current tournament. To reach the final, the Ecuadorians need to avoid losing by more than two goals in regular time. In case of a three-goal defeat, a penalty shootout will be held. Notably, the club has played in the Copa Libertadores final before, winning the tournament in the 2007/08 season.
- The team has not won in 9 of their last 11 away matches in the Copa Libertadores (4 draws, 5 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 5 of the club's last 7 away games in this tournament.
- The Ecuadorians have conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 7 of their last 9 away matches in the Copa Libertadores.
Predicted lineup for LDU Quito (3-5-2)
Alexander Domínguez – Leonel Quiñónez, Richard Mina, Ricardo Ade – Bryan Ramírez, Kevin Minda, Carlos Gruezo, Gabriel Villamil, José Quintero – Jayson Medina, Lisandro Alzugaray.
Forward Alejandro Cabeza will not play due to injury. Defender Bryan Ramírez is suspended.
Referee
Wilmar Roldán (Colombia)
Matches – 8 (International matches, 2025);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 42;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 13%.
Palmeiras vs. LDU Quito: Match Prediction
The Brazilians need to take risks and play openly to overcome the three-goal deficit and reach the final. However, Palmeiras has not shown such high efficiency in attack previously, with the team scoring more than two goals in only three of their last 12 home matches in the Copa Libertadores.
Moreover, the Ecuadorians are likely to defend tightly to preserve their advantage from the first leg. Overall, the team looks confident in defense: in 11 matches in the current Copa Libertadores, LDU Quito has conceded only five goals. Even away, the club does not allow their opponents to create many dangerous chances: in their last nine away matches in the Copa Libertadores, the Ecuadorians have not conceded more than two goals.
I expect the visitors' defense to contain the opponent's attack enough to prevent the Brazilians from scoring more than two goals. My prediction: Palmeiras Individual Total Under 2.5
