The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League playoff between PSG (France) and Brest (France) will take place on February 19 at the Parc des Princes in Paris. The score of the first match is 3-0 in favor of PSG. PSG vs. Brest: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
PSG
The Parisians comfortably overcame Brest in the first match with a 3-0 victory. In the second leg, the team can even afford to lose by two goals. After defeating their compatriots, PSG extended their winning streak in the Champions League to four matches. Notably, Luis Enrique's side has scored at least three goals in each of these games. It's also worth mentioning that the French club has consistently reached the last 16 of this European competition for the past 12 seasons.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 9 of PSG's last 11 matches in this tournament.
- In their last six home matches in the Champions League, the Parisians have only won by a margin of two or more goals once.
- The team has not won the first half in their last eight home matches in this European competition (5 draws and 3 losses).
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, William Pacho, Marquinhos, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Desire Doue, Bradley Barcola, Ousmane Dembele.
Midfielder Warren Zaire-Emery is out due to injury.
Brest
Eric Roy's side had no answer to PSG in the first game. This marks their second consecutive home defeat with a scoreline of 0-3 in the Champions League, as well as their third straight goalless loss in this tournament. The club could advance further in the Champions League if they manage to defeat their illustrious opponent by a margin of four or more goals. If the return leg ends in a sensational three-goal victory for Brest, extra time will be played.
- In Brest's last nine matches in the Champions League, there has been only one draw (4 wins and 4 losses).
- At least one team failed to score in Brest's last five games in this European competition.
- No more than three goals have been scored in Brest's last seven matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Brest (4-3-3)
Marco Bizot – Soumaila Coulibaly, Edimilson Fernandes, Brendan Chardonnet, Kenny Lala – Hugo Magnetti, Pierre Lees-Melou, Mahdi Camara – Abdallah Sima, Kamory Doumbia, Ludovic Ajorque.
Injured players include forward Ibrahima Salah, defender Bradley Locko, and midfielder Romain Del Castillo.
Referee
Michael Oliver (England)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 39;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 40%
Match Prediction: PSG vs. Brest
There was no upset in the first match. Eric Roy's side is currently unable to compete on equal terms with Europe's top clubs. This was evident in the group stage, where the team suffered heavy defeats to two Spanish giants – Real Madrid and Barcelona.
I am confident that the return leg will also be dominated by the Parisians, and we can expect another convincing victory for the capital club. The official head-to-head statistics between these French clubs are telling: in the last 19 encounters, PSG has won 18 times, with only one draw.
Additionally, in the last 17 official meetings, PSG has won by a margin of two or more goals on 12 occasions. There is no need for the hosts to defeat their opponents by a large scoreline, but the difference in class is so significant that the Parisians are likely to overcome Brest comfortably once again.
My prediction: PSG with a handicap of (-2)
